inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 105 Excitement3.8 [1052] MVPKyle Korver (ATL): +8.4%
Philadelphia 76ers 87 Comeback1.2 [1206] LVPRobert Covington (PHI): -12.3%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Korver0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.030.04883%0.122-0.04250%-0.02
Al Horford0.080,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.120.010.051081%0.122-0.04683%-0.00
Kent Bazemore0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.001461%0.092-0.0400%0.00
Mike Scott0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.00-0.03750%0.0310.00250%0.00
Adreian Payne0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.00250%0.00
Dennis Schroder-0.000,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.00-0.021059%0.084-0.09250%-0.01
Elton Brand-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02932%-0.0100.0010%-0.00
Shelvin Mack-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.011250%-0.002-0.0100%0.00
Mike Muscala-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.041030%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.01536%-0.022-0.0510%0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
KJ McDaniels0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.00970%0.0810.002100%0.01
Jerami Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.110.010.08787%0.0410.001100%0.00
Hollis Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.000.01487%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Malcolm Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Furkan Aldemir0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00150%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Michael Carter-Williams0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.020.041369%0.085-0.103100%0.01
JaKarr Sampson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.000.00450%-0.012-0.0220%0.00
Nerlens Noel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.02420%-0.031-0.0220%-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.01544%-0.021-0.03667%-0.01
Henry Sims0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Tony Wroten0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.020.001236%-0.062-0.04425%-0.01
Robert Covington0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.16-0.01-0.041324%-0.063-0.063100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.82.324.415.726.11.629.2124.2
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +42.3%
PHI -4.5%
ATL +12.0%
PHI -1.0%
ATL +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLPHINBAATLPHINBA
this game15.315.315.1111.792.6104.2
season14.914.9106.794.3
opponent14.815.4103.4101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL13.614.917.515.515.3
PHI17.114.514.515.215.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dennis Schroder47470.50-0.000.51-0.0519-12016.314.41.9415.615.00.66
Thabo Sefolosha58580.500.000.50-0.031801816.413.62.7415.714.70.95
Al Horford57580.470.030.45-0.1722-42615.115.8-0.7015.614.80.86
Kyle Korver56580.450.050.40-0.2022-42615.115.7-0.5915.515.00.55
Mike Scott52510.390.110.290.07117415.814.71.1114.216.6-2.35
Elton Brand38380.130.37-0.250.10117-1614.615.8-1.2215.215.4-0.25
Kent Bazemore55540.050.45-0.39-0.09513-815.215.6-0.4015.215.4-0.25
Mike Muscala50490.010.49-0.490.09-321-2415.415.20.1915.615.00.68
Adreian Payne10100.000.50-0.500.12-422-2612.815.6-2.8315.115.3-0.23
Shelvin Mack4747-0.000.50-0.510.02-119-2014.416.3-1.9415.015.6-0.66

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Henry Sims17160.02-0.520.54-0.011-192016.215.11.1311.616.1-4.54
Malcolm Thomas9100.00-0.500.50-0.124-222613.815.5-1.6912.815.6-2.83
Furkan Aldemir1718-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-181815.915.20.7014.315.6-1.23
Luc Mbah a Moute3737-0.01-0.490.48-0.041-192016.214.71.5016.914.32.53
JaKarr Sampson3030-0.07-0.430.36-0.132-202215.115.4-0.3112.116.9-4.79
Hollis Thompson3738-0.12-0.380.26-0.06-2-161413.816.3-2.4713.616.5-2.94
Tony Wroten4242-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.04-8-10214.416.0-1.5915.215.4-0.21
Michael Carter-Williams5454-0.30-0.20-0.100.17-16-2-1416.114.21.9716.413.92.49
Jerami Grant4543-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.03-13-5-814.316.3-2.0013.916.5-2.62
Robert Covington6060-0.42-0.08-0.340.17-202-2215.614.80.7616.812.83.97
KJ McDaniels6263-0.43-0.07-0.360.16-202-2215.614.70.9916.313.33.09
Nerlens Noel6059-0.48-0.02-0.460.08-191-2015.614.80.8116.513.33.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 105, ORL 900.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,096.0%
SAS 105, MEM 870.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
LAL 119, DEN 920.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.16,0.19,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%