NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	102		Excitement	5.5 [714]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +36.8%
Golden State Warriors	117		Comeback	3.1 [857]		LVP	CJ Miles (IND): -13.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lavoy Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	86%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.00	0.05	15	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Copeland	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	58%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
David West	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	62%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Shayne Whittington	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
CJ Watson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	3	45%	0.04	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
CJ Miles	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	0.04	15	41%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.24	0.13	0.01	25	71%	0.41	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	10	59%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.01	0.07	12	69%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	29%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	17	60%	0.07	5	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	8	35%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	25.5	15.4	26.2	2.7	32.5	128.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +29.9%

IND -4.9%

GSW +3.9%

GSW +19.3%

GSW +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	GSW	NBA	IND	GSW	NBA
this game	15.7	12.9	15.1	101.0	117.0	104.2
season	16.0	13.6		102.3	109.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		99.7	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	17.8	14.3	17.3	15.7
GSW	11.9	12.7	13.9	13.4	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shayne Whittington	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	12.5	15.8	-3.28	14.0	12.9	1.09
Chris Copeland	54	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-10	5	16.8	14.4	2.41	14.2	11.6	2.66
Roy Hibbert	14	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-11	7	15.3	15.8	-0.50	10.0	13.4	-3.41
CJ Watson	60	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-9	3	14.7	17.1	-2.37	12.7	13.3	-0.66
Lavoy Allen	69	68	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	-7	-1	16.0	15.0	1.04	13.6	11.6	1.97
Luis Scola	44	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	-9	3	17.1	14.6	2.52	12.9	13.0	-0.12
Donald Sloan	41	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	-6	-3	17.1	14.7	2.37	13.3	12.7	0.66
Solomon Hill	74	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	-4	-7	14.8	18.3	-3.58	12.6	13.7	-1.06
David West	73	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	-1	-13	14.7	18.3	-3.61	12.9	13.0	-0.05
CJ Miles	74	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	-1	-13	15.9	15.3	0.52	12.3	14.8	-2.50

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	85	85	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.00	20	-5	25	12.8	13.9	-1.18	15.2	18.2	-3.01
Draymond Green	63	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.19	23	-8	31	12.4	13.8	-1.44	15.6	15.9	-0.28
Marreese Speights	57	55	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.06	16	-1	17	12.2	13.9	-1.63	15.1	16.5	-1.45
Stephen Curry	74	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	3	9	12.5	14.1	-1.60	15.7	15.8	-0.14
Harrison Barnes	52	53	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.02	13	2	11	11.9	14.1	-2.22	16.1	15.3	0.80
Andrew Bogut	30	32	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	13	-11	13.8	12.5	1.29	15.4	15.9	-0.49
Shaun Livingston	26	27	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	12	-9	14.1	12.5	1.60	15.8	15.7	0.14
David Lee	35	35	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	19	-23	13.9	12.4	1.56	15.9	15.6	0.31
Andre Iguodala	63	64	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	20	-25	14.0	11.1	2.85	16.1	15.0	1.13
Justin Holiday	15	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	20	-25	13.9	12.8	1.18	18.2	15.2	3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.57,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.83,0.88,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 65, SAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
SAS 72, MIA 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.74,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.98,1	93.7%
ORL 76, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.83,0.81,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	93.3%