inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 91 Excitement3.2 [1147] MVPHarrison Barnes (GSW): +11.1%
Golden State Warriors 117 Comeback1.1 [878] LVPKevin Durant (OKC): -11.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Adams0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.000.02671%0.0500.002100%0.01
Kendrick Perkins0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.01546%0.0300.00367%-0.00
Anthony Morrow0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.080.000.061165%0.021-0.004100%0.01
Jeremy Lamb-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04520%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Grant Jerrett-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04633%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Andre Roberson-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05540%0.012-0.0100%0.00
Perry Jones-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.010.000.04944%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.03729%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Ish Smith-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.0240%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.090,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.00-0.012139%-0.052-0.041479%-0.01
Kevin Durant-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.140.00-0.031633%-0.072-0.041164%-0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Harrison Barnes0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.170.000.061472%0.1100.00450%0.01
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.00675%0.082-0.02450%-0.01
Klay Thompson0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.001266%0.083-0.03580%0.01
Draymond Green0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.00-0.051046%0.061-0.0240%-0.02
Stephen Curry0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.011459%0.052-0.014100%0.01
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.01753%0.0200.001100%0.00
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ognjen Kuzmic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.041100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.02-0.00337%0.002-0.03250%-0.01
David Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.000.001040%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.090.00-0.05827%-0.031-0.01667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.22.427.515.427.32.027.3133.1
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +52.1%
OKC -0.5%
OKC -1.5%
GSW +1.2%
OKC -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCGSWNBAOKCGSWNBA
this game14.213.415.187.5111.4104.2
season14.513.6105.7109.2
opponent15.515.099.7103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC12.813.316.514.614.2
GSW11.612.914.215.413.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeremy Lamb1314-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-221815.414.01.4011.613.7-2.03
Grant Jerrett1515-0.00-0.500.500.20-7-191215.613.91.6811.613.7-2.10
Andre Roberson4242-0.09-0.410.32-0.03-2-242214.713.80.8814.312.81.56
Ish Smith2426-0.15-0.350.200.17-11-15413.714.3-0.5412.313.7-1.40
Kendrick Perkins1919-0.16-0.340.170.01-6-201413.114.4-1.3613.413.4-0.04
Reggie Jackson4444-0.20-0.300.090.12-11-15413.814.4-0.6415.711.83.93
Steven Adams4748-0.23-0.270.040.07-10-16613.714.6-0.8812.214.4-2.20
Serge Ibaka6767-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.07-8-181013.914.6-0.6313.513.30.17
Perry Jones5454-0.32-0.18-0.130.33-22-4-1814.613.70.9712.714.2-1.47
Anthony Morrow5960-0.33-0.17-0.160.35-23-3-2014.813.31.5414.811.63.23
Russell Westbrook6666-0.33-0.17-0.160.05-13-13013.814.7-0.8612.714.7-2.02
Kevin Durant7070-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.00-13-13013.914.7-0.8113.413.5-0.09

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Harrison Barnes81810.450.050.40-0.222332013.114.5-1.4313.616.3-2.69
Draymond Green64640.450.050.40-0.312602612.614.7-2.1415.212.52.70
Stephen Curry71710.370.130.24-0.071511412.814.7-1.8913.615.4-1.76
Andre Iguodala70710.350.150.20-0.211971214.211.92.3114.214.10.11
Justin Holiday60570.310.190.12-0.071313014.811.53.2714.114.2-0.13
Klay Thompson44450.190.31-0.12-0.101016-611.514.8-3.3114.014.3-0.21
Marreese Speights40400.160.34-0.180.07323-2011.614.5-2.9513.214.8-1.61
Shaun Livingston34330.130.37-0.24-0.191115-414.712.81.8915.413.61.76
David Lee44420.090.41-0.32-0.05521-1615.411.93.5014.314.10.21
Leandro Barbosa990.000.50-0.50-0.12422-1814.013.30.6615.914.01.89
Ognjen Kuzmic870.000.50-0.50-0.03125-2414.013.40.6515.114.11.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 92, TOR 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,197.3%
LAC 75, NJN 920.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
LAC 94, CLE 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%