NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	92		Excitement	3.0 [1207]		MVP	Julian Wright (TOR): +7.2%
Toronto Raptors	99		Comeback	1.1 [1117]		LVP	Jordan Farmar (NJN): -7.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.18	-0.00	0.13	21	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	14	79%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Johan Petro	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Uzoh	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Stephen Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	54%	0.02	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	14	54%	0.03	4	-0.07	7	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	6	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	13	23%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.03	7	62%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	14	62%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	16	50%	0.08	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	61%	0.06	3	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
James Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	13	56%	0.07	5	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	6	31%	-0.01	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.7	27.6	16.3	26.3	1.5	40.6	139.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +39.1%

NJN -1.6%

TOR +10.5%

NJN -2.5%

TOR +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	17.1	15.5	103.4	112.5	105.7
season	16.4	15.1		101.6	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.3		111.2	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.4	16.4	14.0	16.2	15.5
TOR	16.6	16.4	18.8	16.5	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	27	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-18	29	15.2	15.6	-0.43	17.3	17.0	0.39
Mario West	28	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.38	8	-15	23	16.6	15.0	1.69	17.0	17.1	-0.15
Travis Outlaw	40	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-4	1	14.4	16.3	-1.88	17.7	16.5	1.20
Ben Uzoh	25	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	0	-7	13.1	16.4	-3.34	18.8	16.3	2.47
Johan Petro	40	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-3	-1	15.1	15.8	-0.74	17.8	16.4	1.38
Jordan Farmar	48	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	6	-19	16.3	14.5	1.76	15.8	18.5	-2.75
Stephen Graham	66	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-6	5	15.8	14.7	1.06	16.9	17.5	-0.59
Dan Gadzuric	41	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	8	-23	16.3	14.8	1.55	15.6	18.2	-2.61
Brook Lopez	62	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-3	-1	15.3	15.8	-0.48	17.6	16.0	1.59
Sasha Vujacic	68	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	0	-7	15.6	15.0	0.69	16.9	17.5	-0.54

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	76	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-7	21	16.7	19.7	-3.01	15.2	17.1	-1.85
James Johnson	72	73	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	-2	11	17.4	15.7	1.61	15.9	13.7	2.11
Reggie Evans	65	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	-1	9	16.8	17.8	-0.97	15.6	15.0	0.58
Alexis Ajinca	35	35	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	-7	21	15.7	17.9	-2.20	15.9	15.2	0.71
DeMar DeRozan	70	71	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	5	-3	17.3	16.2	1.13	15.1	16.8	-1.69
Julian Wright	46	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.40	-4	11	-15	16.9	17.2	-0.28	15.8	15.1	0.71
Ed Davis	59	59	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.28	-1	8	-9	17.8	15.6	2.26	15.1	16.2	-1.08
Joey Dorsey	17	17	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.22	-7	14	-21	18.2	16.8	1.37	15.3	15.5	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 91, GSW 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
ATL 88, CLE 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CHA 63, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%