NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	104		Excitement	3.3 [1114]		MVP	Cody Zeller (CHA): +11.1%
Boston Celtics	95		Comeback	1.1 [475]		LVP	Jeff Green (BOS): -6.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Zeller	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.00	8	100%	0.15	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	26	56%	0.09	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.02
PJ Hairston	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	73%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	7	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	54%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gary Neal	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	12	27%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.02	0.07	7	93%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	10	59%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	38%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	0.07	16	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	13	26%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	26.3	15.5	25.4	1.7	40.0	135.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +29.0%

CHA +13.2%

CHA +15.4%

BOS -8.4%

CHA +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	BOS	NBA	CHA	BOS	NBA
this game	17.0	14.9	15.1	114.3	105.6	104.2
season	15.6	14.3		98.9	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.1		103.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.4	17.9	17.7	17.1	17.0
BOS	14.0	15.6	16.6	13.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	73	72	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-3	15	16.7	17.9	-1.16	15.1	13.9	1.21
Cody Zeller	63	64	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	-4	17	17.1	16.6	0.50	14.7	15.2	-0.47
Gerald Henderson	63	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.07	11	-2	13	17.3	16.3	0.97	15.0	14.5	0.53
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	37	36	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	-5	19	14.7	18.5	-3.80	15.8	14.2	1.58
Bismack Biyombo	50	51	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.02	8	1	7	17.7	16.0	1.70	15.3	14.3	0.97
Marvin Williams	56	54	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.32	-4	13	-17	17.2	16.6	0.58	14.2	15.8	-1.54
PJ Hairston	24	23	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	9	-9	15.9	17.3	-1.41	15.2	14.7	0.49
Jason Maxiell	31	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.17	-2	11	-13	16.3	17.3	-1.01	14.7	14.9	-0.19
Gary Neal	40	40	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	13	-17	18.2	16.0	2.22	14.1	15.4	-1.27
Brian Roberts	18	18	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	12	-15	17.9	16.7	1.16	13.9	15.1	-1.21

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Phil Pressey	28	28	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.30	11	-20	31	13.8	15.3	-1.55	16.0	17.4	-1.43
Kelly Olynyk	26	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.22	7	-16	23	14.1	15.2	-1.04	15.5	17.5	-1.98
Brandan Wright	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.16	5	-14	19	16.6	14.4	2.21	17.6	16.8	0.85
Gerald Wallace	6	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-7	5	22.5	14.3	8.19	20.4	16.8	3.64
James Young	31	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.33	9	-18	27	14.2	15.2	-1.06	17.2	16.8	0.40
Marcus Smart	38	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-8	7	14.7	14.9	-0.21	18.8	15.7	3.11
Jae Crowder	47	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.33	5	-14	19	14.8	14.9	-0.10	17.9	15.9	2.08
Brandon Bass	37	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-5	1	15.2	14.6	0.57	18.4	16.0	2.32
Tyler Zeller	31	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.13	-15	6	-21	14.9	14.8	0.07	16.5	17.2	-0.69
Avery Bradley	40	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	4	-17	13.3	16.1	-2.85	15.9	17.9	-1.95
Evan Turner	38	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	7	-23	15.7	14.2	1.43	16.6	17.2	-0.65
Jeff Green	49	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	9	-27	15.2	14.5	0.72	15.3	19.0	-3.76
Jared Sullinger	62	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	4	-17	14.9	14.7	0.15	17.3	16.3	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.16,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, LAC 64	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
WAS 112, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0	96.3%
NYK 78, PHI 67	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%