inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 83 Excitement2.7 [1216] MVPRyan Anderson (NOP): +18.2%
New Orleans Pelicans 111 Comeback1.0 [611] LVPJames Harden (HOU): -8.6%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donatas Motiejunas0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.070.010.01671%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Dwight Howard0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.000.01871%0.073-0.0610%-0.01
Nick Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01550%0.0000.0020%0.00
Isaiah Canaan0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01362%0.0010.002100%0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02530%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Terry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.000.00750%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Corey Brewer-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.021243%-0.022-0.014100%0.01
Joey Dorsey-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.01633%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.02520%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Josh Smith-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.12-0.00-0.071136%-0.054-0.0000%0.00
Patrick Beverley-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.00721%-0.0600.0000%0.00
James Harden-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.031342%0.015-0.1000%0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.140.03-0.021476%0.182-0.001100%0.00
Tyreke Evans0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.00-0.011568%0.124-0.051100%0.00
Jimmer Fredette0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.02859%0.0410.001100%0.00
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.110.000.07776%0.0300.003100%0.01
Alexis Ajinca0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03743%0.0110.0000%0.00
Luke Babbitt0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062133%0.042-0.042100%0.00
Russ Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Withey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02133%0.0000.00450%0.00
Omer Asik0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02560%0.022-0.04560%-0.01
Jrue Holiday0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02844%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.02837%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Anthony Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.08-0.00-0.05741%-0.003-0.033100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.21.826.315.724.32.424.5122.2
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +43.9%
NOP +4.3%
HOU -1.9%
NOP +2.4%
NOP +1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUNOPNBAHOUNOPNBA
this game13.616.415.186.5115.6104.2
season14.315.8105.6106.3
opponent15.214.9106.1103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU14.314.214.112.013.6
NOP15.116.415.918.016.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Isaiah Canaan2424-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-293012.014.2-2.1918.015.82.19
Nick Johnson2929-0.01-0.490.490.05-2-262411.414.6-3.2017.715.81.91
Kostas Papanikolaou4645-0.04-0.460.430.11-5-231812.714.5-1.8217.015.81.22
Joey Dorsey4544-0.10-0.400.290.07-6-221613.413.8-0.4216.716.00.69
Josh Smith3435-0.15-0.350.210.15-10-18813.014.0-1.0017.515.71.83
Jason Terry3231-0.17-0.330.170.10-9-191014.413.31.0915.816.6-0.81
Corey Brewer5554-0.24-0.260.020.23-16-12-414.013.20.7416.316.4-0.09
James Harden4950-0.31-0.19-0.110.28-20-8-1214.712.62.1415.717.0-1.32
Patrick Beverley3536-0.33-0.17-0.160.17-17-11-614.813.01.8615.716.7-0.97
Donatas Motiejunas4544-0.37-0.13-0.240.07-15-13-214.013.40.6215.117.4-2.29
Dwight Howard4344-0.40-0.10-0.290.19-20-8-1214.313.11.2315.716.9-1.16
Trevor Ariza4344-0.40-0.10-0.300.22-21-7-1413.713.60.0916.116.5-0.40

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Davis61610.420.080.35-0.342622415.517.8-2.3214.711.92.81
Jrue Holiday52520.360.140.22-0.232081215.717.1-1.3214.812.22.62
Tyreke Evans53530.310.190.12-0.282081215.417.5-2.0515.311.73.61
Dante Cunningham57550.300.200.10-0.171612416.915.61.3313.014.5-1.47
Omer Asik48470.270.230.05-0.201612415.317.4-2.1714.113.20.99
Ryan Anderson46470.200.30-0.09-0.06919-1017.615.22.3314.013.30.61
Jimmer Fredette43430.190.31-0.12-0.04820-1217.515.42.0511.715.3-3.61
Luke Babbitt32330.150.35-0.20-0.171117-615.216.9-1.6613.913.50.45
Alexis Ajinca32330.150.35-0.210.00523-1817.915.62.2812.014.5-2.55
Austin Rivers36370.140.36-0.22-0.151018-817.415.71.6612.514.4-1.89
Russ Smith870.000.50-0.500.06-230-3215.616.4-0.8010.913.9-3.01
Jeff Withey12120.000.50-0.50-0.03127-2616.716.30.3611.913.9-1.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 86, NYK 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%
TOR 102, GSW 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,0.96,197.1%
SEA 73, HOU 1130.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%