inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 111 Excitement4.5 [926] MVPWesley Johnson (LAL): +10.3%
Denver Nuggets 103 Comeback1.2 [386] LVPArron Afflalo (DEN): -5.3%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Johnson0.100,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.10.140.000.041080%0.1000.0000%0.00
Ronnie Price0.100,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.00-0.001082%0.173-0.07250%-0.00
Carlos Boozer0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.03-0.021456%0.132-0.05650%-0.02
Kobe Bryant0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.060.04-0.081170%0.179-0.111173%0.03
Jordan Hill0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.000.02967%0.0500.0000%0.00
Wayne Ellington0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.00667%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Ed Davis0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.01370%0.0200.00475%0.01
Nick Young0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.060.01-0.07729%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Robert Sacre-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jeremy Lin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.01-0.02627%-0.011-0.02367%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.070.070.090.010.031073%0.081-0.012100%0.01
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.040.01560%0.081-0.02560%-0.02
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.01-0.04542%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Wilson Chandler0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.000.03656%0.0100.004100%0.02
Erick Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.000.011152%0.042-0.04956%-0.02
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.011350%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.01950%0.011-0.02425%-0.04
Alonzo Gee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.03475%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02729%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.040.000.021438%-0.041-0.0210%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.727.315.724.71.836.6132.4
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +53.0%
DEN -0.1%
LAL +9.3%
DEN -16.9%
LAL +4.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game16.313.415.1113.3107.3104.2
season15.514.6101.9103.4
opponent15.314.7106.6108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL16.014.217.817.316.3
DEN15.314.011.512.713.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wesley Johnson54540.490.010.48-0.0418-102815.816.9-1.1413.213.5-0.26
Ronnie Price67660.480.020.470.1013-51816.615.80.7813.413.20.18
Kobe Bryant64640.470.030.440.1212-41616.615.80.7413.313.5-0.17
Ed Davis60600.460.040.410.0514-62016.715.61.1013.413.20.21
Jordan Hill48470.350.150.19-0.0614-62016.316.3-0.0313.713.10.60
Carlos Boozer59570.160.34-0.180.42-917-2616.416.10.3413.013.8-0.79
Robert Sacre29280.040.46-0.420.13-311-1415.216.8-1.6113.313.4-0.05
Wayne Ellington34320.030.47-0.440.15-412-1615.816.6-0.7413.513.30.17
Jeremy Lin31300.020.48-0.470.16-513-1815.816.6-0.7813.213.4-0.18
Nick Young44420.010.49-0.480.30-1018-2816.915.81.1413.513.20.26

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Harris3639-0.06-0.440.39-0.205-131812.413.9-1.4615.816.6-0.81
Erick Green1515-0.08-0.420.350.07-5-3-212.113.6-1.4517.616.11.53
JJ Hickson5556-0.13-0.370.24-0.285-131812.414.7-2.2816.615.90.66
Alonzo Gee3940-0.15-0.350.21-0.264-121612.314.1-1.8517.815.32.48
Nate Robinson4548-0.15-0.350.19-0.243-111412.114.5-2.3416.516.10.46
Jusuf Nurkic5557-0.25-0.250.01-0.22-1-7612.814.1-1.3816.516.00.57
Timofey Mozgov4141-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.05-7-1-614.112.81.3816.016.5-0.57
Wilson Chandler3231-0.31-0.19-0.120.04-124-1616.112.04.1116.016.4-0.40
Arron Afflalo5152-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.10-91-1014.512.02.4715.417.3-1.88
Kenneth Faried4142-0.37-0.13-0.240.01-135-1814.712.42.2815.916.6-0.66
Ty Lawson7069-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.11-102-1213.413.20.1716.116.9-0.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.02,0.14,0.02,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 92, HOU 830.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,095.6%
TOR 97, NJN 880.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,095.4%
GSW 107, ATL 990.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.01,095.1%