NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	3.8 [1007]		MVP	Walt Williams (TOR): +11.6%
New Jersey Nets	88		Comeback	1.1 [584]		LVP	Kendall Gill (NJN): -9.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.00	-0.03	13	75%	0.15	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
John Long	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	11	54%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00
Sharone Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	72%	0.07	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Carlos Rogers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zan Tabak	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	6	65%	0.05	5	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Popeye Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	9	53%	0.00	3	-0.05	14	64%	-0.03
Donald Whiteside	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Evric Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yinka Dare	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	22	54%	-0.00	4	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Robert Pack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	23	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	15	37%	-0.05	2	-0.03	8	25%	-0.04
Kendall Gill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	20	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	0.1	27.6	14.8	26.0	2.0	30.2	123.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +58.7%

TOR +6.0%

NJN -0.7%

NJN -14.0%

TOR +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	14.9	16.1	15.6	103.2	95.7	104.4
season	16.1	15.4		102.2	101.7
opponent	14.9	15.0		106.6	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.9	12.1	16.0	17.0	14.9
NJN	15.1	16.2	17.5	15.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	80	79	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.15	11	-2	13	15.0	14.1	0.87	15.9	17.0	-1.05
Doug Christie	74	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.21	5	4	1	15.8	11.3	4.49	16.4	14.8	1.58
Popeye Jones	71	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	3	3	15.2	14.0	1.11	16.9	13.9	3.01
Damon Stoudamire	64	62	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	3	3	15.8	13.0	2.81	16.4	15.5	0.89
Sharone Wright	45	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	2	5	16.3	13.6	2.65	17.2	15.0	2.28
Carlos Rogers	42	40	0.22	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	5	-1	12.3	17.0	-4.74	14.0	17.7	-3.76
Zan Tabak	36	35	0.21	0.30	-0.09	0.15	2	7	-5	14.8	14.9	-0.08	15.8	16.3	-0.53
Donald Whiteside	30	30	0.17	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	6	-3	13.0	15.8	-2.81	15.5	16.4	-0.89
John Long	28	27	0.15	0.36	-0.21	0.12	1	8	-7	13.1	15.7	-2.58	15.3	16.4	-1.13

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evric Gray	6	7	-0.01	-0.50	0.49	-0.04	1	-10	11	15.2	16.2	-1.00	11.7	15.1	-3.42
Yinka Dare	23	26	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.15	3	-12	15	15.1	16.4	-1.29	14.5	15.0	-0.53
Ed O'Bannon	9	9	-0.09	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-5	1	18.2	15.9	2.35	10.2	15.4	-5.15
Khalid Reeves	17	18	-0.09	-0.42	0.33	-0.00	-3	-6	3	16.4	16.0	0.39	13.2	15.3	-2.12
Adrian Caldwell	20	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.03	-5	-4	-1	15.6	16.2	-0.57	12.4	15.6	-3.16
Tony Massenburg	62	62	-0.40	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-2	-5	16.0	16.2	-0.15	15.0	14.7	0.20
Kendall Gill	78	78	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-3	-3	16.0	16.6	-0.56	15.7	10.9	4.83
Robert Pack	86	88	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	-3	-3	16.0	17.2	-1.14	15.0	13.7	1.30
Jayson Williams	79	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	0	-9	16.5	13.5	3.07	15.6	11.1	4.54
Kerry Kittles	80	82	-0.49	-0.02	-0.47	-0.23	-9	0	-9	16.0	16.6	-0.56	15.2	12.9	2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 99, ATL 82	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
TOR 112, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
MIN 91, DET 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	96.7%