NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	101		Excitement	9.3 [113]		MVP	Carl Landry (SAC): +82.8%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	14.7 [83]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -45.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Watson	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.28,0.28	0.04	0.24	0.00	11	56%	0.30	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Damjan Rudez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	11	44%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	11	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Stuckey	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0.13,0.13,0.04,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	0.03	-0.14	0.02	10	54%	-0.05	1	-0.09	6	67%	-0.07
David West	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16	-0.02	-0.11	0.03	16	44%	-0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Solomon Hill	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.10	-0.14	0.01	12	33%	-0.21	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.83	0.83	0.05	0.77	-0.01	9	64%	0.85	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.07	-0.01	8	43%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	0.02
Ben McLemore	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	55%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	4	60%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Derrick Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.17,-0.31	-0.31	-0.08	-0.23	-0.01	19	45%	-0.08	4	-0.22	6	67%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,-0.05,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.46	-0.46	0.10	-0.52	0.03	20	59%	-0.44	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.2	2.3	29.4	14.8	31.0	2.0	35.3	2.4	13.7	157.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +49.4%

SAC +6.7%

SAC +12.8%

IND -20.6%

SAC +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	15.5	15.2	15.1	97.1	99.0	104.2
season	16.0	14.9		102.3	103.7
opponent	14.8	15.0		107.6	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	16.2	14.6	15.1	17.5	12.7	15.5
SAC	12.6	16.0	13.7	16.0	23.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	50	49	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.24	-2	1	-3	17.5	13.7	3.74	14.8	15.5	-0.70
CJ Miles	40	41	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.22	11	-12	23	14.0	16.5	-2.54	16.3	14.5	1.84
Luis Scola	35	36	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.11	6	-7	13	13.7	16.5	-2.75	15.9	14.8	1.13
Lavoy Allen	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-8	15	16.8	15.2	1.61	14.6	15.4	-0.72
Ian Mahinmi	28	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	1	-3	13.1	16.4	-3.28	13.8	15.7	-1.91
Damjan Rudez	45	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-4	7	15.1	15.8	-0.71	15.9	14.7	1.14
Rodney Stuckey	51	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-5	9	16.6	14.5	2.14	15.7	14.7	1.03
CJ Watson	71	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.45	2	-3	5	14.7	17.3	-2.63	15.7	14.2	1.52
Chris Copeland	31	32	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	14	-29	16.3	15.2	1.12	12.9	16.2	-3.26
Solomon Hill	75	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	7	-15	16.2	13.9	2.23	14.1	17.9	-3.73
David West	60	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	9	-19	16.2	14.6	1.68	15.1	15.3	-0.24

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	42	43	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.82	-3	4	-7	16.0	14.6	1.38	14.6	16.2	-1.63
Ben McLemore	89	90	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.41	5	-4	9	15.0	16.5	-1.52	16.1	11.9	4.25
Darren Collison	76	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-7	15	14.8	16.3	-1.56	16.1	14.1	1.98
Rudy Gay	68	70	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-6	13	14.6	16.3	-1.67	16.4	13.8	2.55
Ryan Hollins	42	42	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	-10	21	13.5	16.3	-2.84	16.1	15.2	0.89
Omri Casspi	36	34	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	7	-13	15.8	14.8	1.00	13.8	16.4	-2.55
Derrick Williams	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	1	-1	0.0	15.2	-15.18	2.0	15.7	-13.67
Ramon Sessions	27	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.16	-7	8	-15	16.3	14.8	1.56	14.1	16.1	-1.98
Nik Stauskas	14	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	5	-9	16.5	15.0	1.52	11.9	16.1	-4.25
Reggie Evans	47	48	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.40	-16	17	-33	17.0	13.6	3.42	14.9	16.1	-1.23
Jason Thompson	74	74	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.44	10	-9	19	14.7	16.4	-1.71	16.4	13.4	3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.84,0.46,0.55,0.78,0.68,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 108, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.75,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.78,0.74,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.89,0.73,1	89.6%
LAL 108, DEN 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.91,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.72,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.58,0.54,0.33,0.54,0.78,0.58,1	89.3%
TOR 99, CHA 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.78,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.97,1	88.9%