inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 108 Excitement11.0 [43] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +27.6%
Denver Nuggets 110 Comeback2.0 [764] LVPAndre Miller (DEN): -19.1%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0.080,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.080.12-0.05-0.013254%0.163-0.081493%0.09
Lamar Odom0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.011357%0.082-0.04250%-0.01
Sasha Vujacic0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.000.012125%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Jim Jackson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Ronny Turiaf0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Devean George-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.00633%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Brian Cook-0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00450%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Luke Walton-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09-0.02-0.060.001443%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Smush Parker-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.020.01930%-0.081-0.022100%0.01
Kwame Brown-0.140,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.01-0.130.00956%0.014-0.15956%-0.05

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.1,-0.01,0.280.280.020.23-0.033047%0.321-0.041080%-0.00
Greg Buckner0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.010.01871%0.112-0.061100%0.00
Ruben Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.070.08-0.02937%0.072-0.04683%0.05
Francisco Elson0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.16-0.100.04991%0.172-0.155100%0.02
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Linas Kleiza00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.01267%0.042-0.042100%0.01
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.031142%-0.002-0.032100%0.01
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01725%-0.0500.00250%-0.02
Andre Miller0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.19-0.19-0.05-0.130.011345%-0.123-0.07771%-0.15
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.43.437.319.531.63.531.52.619.7176.4
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +39.5%
LAL -2.2%
DEN +14.4%
LAL -6.0%
DEN +4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDENNBALALDENNBA
this game14.816.515.6106.9107.8104.4
season15.614.4106.2103.5
opponent15.915.5103.5104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
LAL16.813.613.115.316.314.8
DEN12.715.216.922.617.016.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lamar Odom71720.14-0.640.780.20-20-214.715.1-0.4617.913.14.88
Jim Jackson18180.06-0.560.61-0.188-101814.714.8-0.1114.417.0-2.58
Ronny Turiaf1214-0.12-0.380.27-0.120-2215.614.70.8814.116.9-2.83
Sasha Vujacic2021-0.12-0.380.26-0.03-31-415.814.61.2311.017.9-6.94
Brian Cook3028-0.20-0.300.100.01-75-1214.415.0-0.5416.716.40.33
Luke Walton7072-0.20-0.300.09-0.5311-132415.014.40.6616.815.90.86
Devean George5153-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.28-42-616.013.62.4817.115.91.26
Kwame Brown8281-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.27-53-814.615.9-1.3317.114.13.04
Kobe Bryant8888-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.35-53-815.013.51.4615.820.8-4.96
Smush Parker6363-0.750.25-1.00-0.66-31-413.616.9-3.3417.115.61.53

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carmelo Anthony87850.71-0.210.920.2715-132816.417.3-0.9714.715.2-0.52
Marcus Camby78770.59-0.090.680.2711-92015.719.1-3.3714.914.40.57
Ruben Patterson53530.55-0.050.610.64-35-816.216.8-0.6315.514.01.47
Andre Miller74760.460.040.420.315-3816.815.81.0015.213.61.56
Francisco Elson60600.120.38-0.26-0.2914-122617.515.12.4015.014.60.42
Howard Eisley28250.040.46-0.420.13-35-815.816.8-1.0013.615.2-1.56
Linas Kleiza770.000.50-0.490.03-13-413.916.7-2.8518.614.54.04
Eduardo Najera640.000.50-0.500.06-24-614.216.7-2.4916.714.72.02
Greg Buckner6969-0.030.53-0.57-0.0302-217.514.52.9514.116.3-2.15
DerMarr Johnson89-0.180.68-0.850.12-1012-2213.616.8-3.1314.014.9-0.89
Reggie Evans3131-0.270.77-1.040.26-1820-3817.016.30.7513.415.4-2.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.91,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.72,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.58,0.54,0.33,0.54,0.78,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 103, POR 1090.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.91,189.4%
IND 101, SAC 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.84,0.46,0.55,0.78,0.68,0.42,189.3%
DAL 115, NYK 1170.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.84,0.84,189.1%