NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	112		Excitement	6.0 [607]		MVP	Gerald Green (PHX): +21.7%
Phoenix Suns	120		Comeback	1.6 [952]		LVP	Kenneth Faried (DEN): -12.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arron Afflalo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	11	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	12	68%	0.07	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Ty Lawson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	16	42%	0.08	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.06
Alonzo Gee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	58%	0.08	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.04	-0.06	0.05	13	64%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.00
Kenneth Faried	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	8	40%	-0.03	5	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.09	0.00	17	71%	0.26	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.01	10	75%	0.16	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.05	-0.03	8	62%	0.10	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.02	13	67%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	64%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	50%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.03	-0.06	17	41%	0.04	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	33.5	15.6	28.2	2.6	31.7	136.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +56.2%

DEN -4.3%

DEN -7.6%

PHX +8.3%

DEN -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	PHX	NBA	DEN	PHX	NBA
this game	14.2	14.6	15.1	112.0	120.0	104.2
season	14.6	14.4		103.4	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		104.9	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.2	11.9	14.0	15.0	14.2
PHX	12.6	14.7	13.7	17.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	29	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-11	14	13.2	14.6	-1.45	15.4	14.3	1.15
Danilo Gallinari	20	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-4	0	12.8	14.5	-1.69	14.2	14.7	-0.48
JJ Hickson	32	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-5	2	12.2	15.1	-2.96	15.2	14.4	0.85
Kenneth Faried	60	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-12	16	14.8	13.2	1.63	13.6	16.2	-2.61
Darrell Arthur	37	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-1	-6	12.5	15.2	-2.68	16.2	13.8	2.42
Alonzo Gee	39	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	4	-16	12.9	15.0	-2.14	16.4	13.6	2.75
Timofey Mozgov	63	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-4	0	15.6	11.9	3.71	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Arron Afflalo	69	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-7	6	15.2	12.1	3.09	14.6	14.5	0.14
Wilson Chandler	67	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	5	-18	14.6	13.3	1.34	13.6	16.7	-3.16
Ty Lawson	84	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-5	2	14.4	13.4	0.98	14.4	15.5	-1.10

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	77	77	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-1	10	14.4	15.4	-1.03	15.2	10.9	4.33
Markieff Morris	73	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	2	4	14.9	13.7	1.23	14.8	12.7	2.06
Miles Plumlee	58	56	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	1	6	15.6	13.3	2.31	16.1	11.7	4.42
PJ Tucker	57	59	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	1	6	14.9	14.3	0.60	13.0	16.0	-3.01
Goran Dragic	78	76	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	6	-4	13.8	17.5	-3.66	13.7	15.6	-1.87
Marcus Morris	72	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	5	-2	12.8	19.3	-6.56	13.9	15.0	-1.08
Gerald Green	50	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	5	-2	17.0	12.2	4.72	13.7	14.7	-1.06
Anthony Tolliver	8	10	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	3	2	15.0	14.6	0.43	12.5	14.4	-1.89
Alex Len	27	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	10	-12	14.5	14.6	-0.16	12.2	14.9	-2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.77,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 101, IND 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
HOU 82, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
LAL 103, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	94.0%