NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	111		Excitement	6.3 [557]		MVP	Donald Sloan (IND): +26.5%
Dallas Mavericks	100		Comeback	1.4 [131]		LVP	Monta Ellis (DAL): -16.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donald Sloan	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.24	0.05	0.02	14	78%	0.29	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Damjan Rudez	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.04	-0.02	5	100%	0.15	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.05	-0.03	8	60%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Chris Copeland	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
A.J. Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	7	50%	0.07	3	-0.08	6	0%	-0.08
Lavoy Allen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.01	0.07	9	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	93%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	13	57%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	17	61%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Charlie Villanueva	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.10	0.03	19	52%	0.04	5	-0.20	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	30.5	17.7	26.3	2.6	37.0	138.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +13.5%

IND +17.2%

IND +16.2%

IND +1.5%

IND +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	NBA	IND	DAL	NBA
this game	16.2	13.9	15.1	116.8	103.1	104.2
season	16.0	14.6		102.3	107.6
opponent	15.0	15.0		105.0	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.6	15.9	15.7	17.4	16.2
DAL	15.0	12.9	15.6	12.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	53	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.11	14	-3	17	16.1	16.2	-0.06	15.5	11.9	3.58
Luis Scola	69	70	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	0	11	15.3	18.3	-3.01	14.3	12.8	1.51
CJ Miles	37	39	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-1	13	15.1	16.8	-1.68	12.7	14.7	-2.01
Donald Sloan	75	78	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	4	3	15.9	17.2	-1.38	13.9	13.6	0.36
Rodney Stuckey	63	63	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	4	3	16.2	16.1	0.05	13.9	13.7	0.20
Solomon Hill	66	67	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	10	-9	15.5	17.6	-2.11	14.1	13.4	0.63
A.J. Price	20	19	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	7	-3	17.2	15.9	1.38	13.6	13.9	-0.36
Damjan Rudez	28	29	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	9	-7	17.6	15.6	2.05	13.9	13.9	-0.01
Chris Copeland	23	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	12	-13	19.7	15.0	4.67	13.3	14.1	-0.76
Lavoy Allen	41	43	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	16.5	15.9	0.67	12.2	15.2	-3.02

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-11	11	6.5	14.2	-7.68	6.5	16.6	-10.08
Tyson Chandler	58	59	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-16	21	14.3	13.2	1.19	17.5	14.0	3.52
Al-Farouq Aminu	30	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-9	7	12.7	14.4	-1.64	16.1	16.2	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	57	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-14	17	13.7	14.1	-0.40	16.9	15.1	1.81
Jose Juan Barea	24	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-6	1	13.4	14.0	-0.60	14.6	16.6	-2.04
Jae Crowder	12	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-3	-5	11.0	14.3	-3.27	14.6	16.4	-1.72
Chandler Parsons	68	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-5	-1	14.3	12.9	1.43	16.6	14.9	1.72
Brandan Wright	51	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-6	1	13.4	14.3	-0.92	16.4	15.9	0.56
Monta Ellis	73	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-5	-1	14.0	13.4	0.60	16.6	14.6	2.04
Devin Harris	40	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	3	-17	14.1	13.7	0.40	15.1	16.9	-1.81
Dirk Nowitzki	68	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.07	-17	6	-23	14.8	11.7	3.10	15.1	18.6	-3.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.02,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.01,0	94.8%
TOR 90, CHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	94.0%
POR 110, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0,0	93.7%