NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	110		Excitement	5.6 [545]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +29.8%
Washington Wizards	99		Comeback	1.1 [864]		LVP	Nick Young (WAS): -12.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.30	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.25	0.08	0.03	15	83%	0.30	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Jamal Crawford	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	13	72%	0.21	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Raymond Felton	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	14	55%	0.15	0	0.00	10	90%	0.05
Gerald Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	12	52%	0.06	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Nicolas Batum	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	5	80%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.02	-0.05	19	52%	0.15	0	0.00	10	70%	0.02
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	3	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.06
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.01	10	71%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	5	60%	0.01	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	10	33%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	16	29%	-0.13	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	33.5	16.3	26.5	2.3	29.3	134.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +14.2%

POR +18.3%

WAS -3.3%

POR +10.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	WAS	NBA	POR	WAS	NBA
this game	16.6	16.3	15.6	125.0	113.8	102.8
season	15.7	15.0		104.1	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		104.6	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.4	16.7	16.3	17.1	16.6
WAS	15.5	16.0	15.7	18.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	74	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.11	12	-1	13	17.3	12.7	4.60	15.1	22.9	-7.79
Raymond Felton	59	58	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	3	5	16.3	17.3	-1.04	16.2	16.5	-0.28
Gerald Wallace	77	75	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	1	9	16.6	16.5	0.18	16.3	16.6	-0.33
Wesley Matthews	42	44	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	5	1	16.2	17.0	-0.86	17.5	15.0	2.48
Nicolas Batum	54	51	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	3	5	17.0	15.9	1.10	15.3	17.7	-2.33
Jamal Crawford	50	50	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	5	1	16.7	16.4	0.29	17.3	14.9	2.40
Kurt Thomas	28	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	9	-7	14.5	17.6	-3.10	20.6	14.5	6.16
Marcus Camby	27	27	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	8	-5	18.0	16.0	1.95	14.1	17.3	-3.12
Joel Przybilla	28	30	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	11	-11	15.9	16.9	-1.06	15.8	16.6	-0.76

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	31	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-11	11	18.7	14.9	3.80	15.6	17.1	-1.50
Shelvin Mack	17	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-7	3	20.7	15.2	5.48	15.8	16.8	-1.05
Chris Singleton	56	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-6	1	15.1	18.4	-3.24	17.3	15.4	1.84
Andray Blatche	24	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-7	3	19.6	15.0	4.54	14.8	17.3	-2.45
Jordan Crawford	51	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-4	-3	14.8	18.4	-3.52	17.3	15.5	1.78
Roger Mason Jr.	27	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-6	1	19.1	15.0	4.02	15.0	17.3	-2.33
Trevor Booker	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-4	-3	15.0	19.6	-4.54	17.3	14.8	2.45
John Wall	70	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-4	-3	15.2	20.7	-5.48	16.8	15.8	1.05
JaVale McGee	46	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-2	-7	15.1	17.6	-2.48	16.9	16.3	0.56
Nick Young	50	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-4	-3	17.1	15.2	1.98	16.3	16.9	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, WAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.8%
CHI 111, SAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%
SAS 91, MIN 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.04,0	94.4%