NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	106		Excitement	4.3 [955]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +32.3%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	1.1 [811]		LVP	Alec Burks (UTA): -19.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.32	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.03	0.03	23	74%	0.37	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.02
Jeff Withey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.03	0.03	16	53%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Gordon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russ Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.01	-0.05	13	32%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.02	-0.05	15	16%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.00	0.06	16	67%	0.15	3	-0.08	14	79%	0.01
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	0.05	12	74%	0.08	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.22	-0.02	-0.04	11	9%	-0.11	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.3	31.7	14.8	24.7	4.8	29.2	131.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +14.2%

NOP +2.7%

NOP +12.6%

NOP +21.3%

UTA -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	UTA	NBA	NOP	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.1	115.2	102.2	104.2
season	15.8	16.2		106.3	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.2		103.7	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	16.0	15.1	17.6	15.5	16.0
UTA	16.0	15.6	15.8	13.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	76	74	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.10	16	-4	20	15.7	17.6	-1.94	15.6	14.0	1.59
Jrue Holiday	66	68	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-2	16	15.5	17.3	-1.79	15.5	14.5	1.00
Anthony Davis	77	76	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	2	8	15.7	17.5	-1.73	15.4	14.8	0.57
Jeff Withey	21	23	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.04	15	-3	18	13.7	16.7	-3.05	14.8	15.4	-0.61
Ryan Anderson	58	58	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	9	-6	16.5	15.3	1.20	14.3	17.0	-2.68
Austin Rivers	61	61	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	11	-10	17.0	14.1	2.85	14.8	16.3	-1.57
Jimmer Fredette	18	17	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	7	-2	14.4	16.4	-2.03	14.5	15.5	-0.92
Russ Smith	10	9	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.03	6	6	0	14.0	16.3	-2.27	17.0	15.1	1.90
Eric Gordon	25	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	10	-8	15.8	16.1	-0.36	15.7	15.1	0.62
Alexis Ajinca	34	34	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	12	-12	17.4	15.2	2.25	17.2	14.2	3.05
Luke Babbitt	14	14	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.09	-12	24	-36	19.9	15.3	4.52	13.3	15.6	-2.36

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	45	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-11	10	14.0	16.5	-2.51	16.7	15.3	1.39
Dante Exum	35	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-9	6	14.7	15.6	-0.87	17.8	14.9	2.87
Steve Novak	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-11	10	14.6	15.4	-0.84	15.2	16.2	-0.95
Gordon Hayward	73	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-9	6	15.5	14.3	1.22	16.2	15.4	0.72
Rudy Gobert	30	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.04	-7	-5	-2	13.8	16.0	-2.15	14.3	16.8	-2.51
Derrick Favors	62	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-7	2	16.0	13.8	2.15	16.8	14.3	2.51
Enes Kanter	33	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-2	-8	17.3	14.1	3.20	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Joe Ingles	38	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-2	-8	15.1	15.4	-0.39	16.6	15.6	0.99
Alec Burks	63	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.24	-7	-5	-2	15.3	15.1	0.21	15.2	17.5	-2.30
Trey Burke	67	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.06	-13	1	-14	15.4	15.1	0.28	15.3	17.9	-2.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 89, SAC 69	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.26,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
GSW 121, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.15,0.26,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
NYK 86, PHI 75	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.5%