NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	78		Excitement	4.4 [939]		MVP	John Wall (WAS): +12.8%
Washington Wizards	91		Comeback	1.5 [525]		LVP	Kevin Love (CLE): -8.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	70%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	16	52%	0.05	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.02
Joe Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	21	45%	0.00	3	-0.05	7	57%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.02	-0.04	20	62%	0.21	4	-0.08	5	60%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	8	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	11	46%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.03	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	3.4	30.6	16.4	25.6	3.5	33.2	134.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +42.6%

CLE -6.9%

WAS +9.5%

WAS +7.0%

CLE -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	15.3	15.1	15.1	81.2	96.8	104.2
season	15.9	15.1		108.7	102.9
opponent	15.3	14.9		101.7	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.1	15.1	16.2	15.7	15.3
WAS	14.1	16.2	12.6	17.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-13	13	8.0	15.3	-7.34	15.5	15.0	0.46
Dion Waiters	41	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-12	11	16.4	14.4	2.01	16.1	14.2	1.91
Brendan Haywood	6	5	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	-6	-1	19.0	15.0	3.99	14.0	15.1	-1.11
Mike Miller	30	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-13	13	15.6	15.1	0.45	16.0	14.6	1.32
Joe Harris	16	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-6	-1	15.1	15.3	-0.16	16.5	14.7	1.80
Tristan Thompson	51	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-11	9	15.8	14.7	1.08	16.6	13.5	3.13
Shawn Marion	56	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-7	1	15.0	15.7	-0.71	13.9	16.5	-2.63
Anderson Varejao	52	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-2	-9	14.7	16.0	-1.28	13.9	16.5	-2.61
Kevin Love	65	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-2	-9	14.8	16.3	-1.47	14.8	15.6	-0.75
Kyrie Irving	82	80	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-6	-1	15.1	16.0	-0.87	15.3	13.8	1.49
LeBron James	80	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	0	-13	15.2	15.7	-0.51	14.5	17.9	-3.48

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	62	65	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.10	24	-11	35	13.9	17.3	-3.43	15.3	15.1	0.19
John Wall	72	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	1	11	14.6	16.7	-2.13	14.9	16.6	-1.74
Otto Porter	45	46	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	6	1	16.8	13.4	3.44	16.8	13.8	2.96
Kris Humphries	36	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	4	5	15.4	14.9	0.50	16.9	14.2	2.75
Kevin Seraphin	45	45	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	4	5	16.8	13.4	3.39	15.0	15.5	-0.41
Paul Pierce	60	62	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	7	-1	14.8	15.5	-0.70	14.3	17.0	-2.69
Marcin Gortat	49	51	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	9	-5	13.4	16.8	-3.39	15.5	15.0	0.41
Nene	58	58	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	9	-5	14.9	15.4	-0.50	14.2	16.9	-2.75
Andre Miller	20	20	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	12	-11	16.8	14.6	2.22	17.0	14.8	2.26
Rasual Butler	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	15.5	15.0	0.46	8.0	15.3	-7.34
Garrett Temple	21	19	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	24	-35	15.4	15.0	0.42	14.4	15.5	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 81, PHX 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
NYK 90, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	96.1%
MIA 85, IND 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%