inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 81 Excitement3.9 [1008] MVPShawn Marion (PHX): +12.9%
Phoenix Suns 100 Comeback1.4 [492] LVPAvery Johnson (SAS): -14.3%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Samaki Walker0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00380%0.041-0.014100%0.01
Jaren Jackson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.06520%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Steve Kerr-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02450%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Derek Anderson-0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.02653%0.021-0.035100%0.02
Sean Elliott-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.02950%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
David Robinson-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.01755%-0.001-0.03683%0.01
Danny Ferry-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0230%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Malik Rose-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.160.00-0.091428%-0.052-0.01475%-0.00
Tim Duncan-0.090,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.001458%0.056-0.1430%-0.02
Antonio Daniels-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.010.02644%-0.052-0.05475%0.00
Avery Johnson-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.02-0.00729%-0.074-0.0700%0.00

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.180.000.051285%0.1300.003100%0.01
Mario Elie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.03-0.00570%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.031856%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Daniel Santiago0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.001100%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Paul McPherson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Rodney Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.01-0.011150%0.032-0.032100%0.01
Jake Tsakalidis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ruben Garces00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Clifford Robinson0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.090.01-0.061737%-0.0200.00633%-0.04
Corie Blount0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01050%-0.011-0.01250%-0.01
Chris Dudley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.120.00-0.05950%0.016-0.072100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.82.428.415.525.41.625.3122.4
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +34.9%
SAS -2.5%
SAS -5.1%
PHX +21.0%
PHX +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPHXNBASASPHXNBA
this game14.815.515.585.3105.3100.9
season15.914.9103.497.7
opponent15.415.596.296.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.417.013.914.114.8
PHX13.816.517.414.715.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Elliott5049-0.09-0.410.31-0.06-1-181715.314.21.0416.714.32.33
Samaki Walker2828-0.10-0.400.310.11-7-12514.115.0-0.9414.616.0-1.38
Avery Johnson4749-0.16-0.340.17-0.10-2-171515.314.21.0517.313.73.63
Derek Anderson5759-0.16-0.340.17-0.05-4-151114.814.80.0116.514.02.49
Jaren Jackson2424-0.20-0.300.110.04-8-11313.415.2-1.8114.715.8-1.07
Danny Ferry2728-0.21-0.290.080.11-11-8-315.314.60.7413.916.2-2.30
David Robinson4343-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.13-4-151116.013.72.3317.414.03.42
Malik Rose4848-0.26-0.24-0.010.16-14-5-913.416.2-2.7714.017.1-3.04
Steve Kerr3836-0.34-0.16-0.170.10-15-4-1114.814.8-0.0114.016.5-2.49
Antonio Daniels4846-0.34-0.16-0.170.16-17-2-1514.215.3-1.0513.717.3-3.63
Tim Duncan6565-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.04-12-7-515.114.01.1216.014.61.38

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Delk64640.59-0.090.68-0.1726-73314.517.6-3.1114.714.9-0.25
Shawn Marion81820.470.030.44-0.061811715.416.5-1.1215.013.51.51
Jason Kidd80810.410.090.32-0.061631315.714.90.8114.516.1-1.53
Daniel Santiago35360.330.170.16-0.08145914.516.1-1.5913.515.5-2.04
Rodney Rogers47480.300.200.10-0.11145914.216.8-2.6013.516.1-2.61
Corie Blount21200.270.230.04-0.02109116.315.30.9515.814.51.31
Clifford Robinson63620.220.28-0.060.07514-916.912.84.0815.613.22.34
Paul McPherson14140.080.42-0.34-0.01316-1315.915.50.4516.114.51.53
Jake Tsakalidis660.000.50-0.50-0.03118-1714.015.7-1.6515.814.71.14
Ruben Garces660.000.50-0.50-0.03118-1714.015.7-1.6515.814.71.14
Mario Elie3231-0.080.58-0.650.13-726-3317.114.82.3314.914.70.25
Chris Dudley2625-0.090.59-0.680.09-625-3116.615.21.4215.014.70.37


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 95, BOS 1160.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
CLE 78, WAS 910.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,196.3%
WAS 93, HOU 1230.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%