NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	6.3 [566]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): +12.4%
Toronto Raptors	111		Comeback	2.3 [907]		LVP	Alec Burks (UTA): -12.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.03	11	82%	0.16	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.07	-0.01	10	44%	0.10	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Enes Kanter	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	12	60%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Trevor Booker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.01	0.04	5	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	4	60%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Trey Burke	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	15	35%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	11	38%	-0.03	4	-0.09	4	25%	-0.07

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.03	17	64%	0.12	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.00	6	67%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.05	0.05	14	66%	0.13	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.07	0.06	11	73%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	12	57%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	13	43%	0.12	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.4	2.4	26.5	15.5	29.2	2.5	28.6	124.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +38.4%

UTA -1.6%

TOR +8.5%

TOR +5.1%

UTA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.8	16.0	15.1	102.2	123.3	104.2
season	16.2	15.6		103.8	109.1
opponent	15.0	15.3		106.8	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.2	15.8	15.4	14.1	15.8
TOR	16.0	16.2	15.9	16.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-13	8	6.2	16.3	-10.00	25.7	15.6	10.19
Ian Clark	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-13	8	6.2	16.3	-10.00	25.7	15.6	10.19
Derrick Favors	53	54	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-14	10	16.3	15.2	1.13	15.6	16.7	-1.14
Dante Exum	34	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.08	-6	-12	6	14.7	16.5	-1.77	16.6	15.7	0.92
Gordon Hayward	58	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-10	2	16.7	14.3	2.37	16.1	15.9	0.21
Trey Burke	63	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	-11	4	16.6	14.1	2.41	15.9	16.4	-0.50
Rudy Gobert	36	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-6	-6	15.0	16.3	-1.35	16.8	15.5	1.26
Trevor Booker	34	37	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-9	0	15.4	16.1	-0.64	15.2	16.6	-1.35
Joe Ingles	46	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-14	10	14.9	16.8	-1.86	15.2	16.9	-1.67
Enes Kanter	57	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-7	-4	16.9	13.9	2.99	15.5	16.7	-1.22
Alec Burks	66	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.12	-19	1	-20	16.0	15.2	0.79	16.0	16.0	-0.04

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Valanciunas	62	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.15	20	-2	22	16.2	15.6	0.64	16.2	15.0	1.12
Kyle Lowry	61	61	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.15	19	-1	20	15.8	16.4	-0.54	16.3	14.9	1.36
DeMar DeRozan	68	67	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.11	17	1	16	16.1	15.8	0.26	16.0	15.2	0.88
Amir Johnson	41	41	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	9	0	16.1	15.9	0.20	17.0	14.9	2.12
Terrence Ross	41	41	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	9	0	16.1	15.9	0.20	17.0	14.9	2.12
Patrick Patterson	49	50	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	9	0	15.9	16.1	-0.20	14.9	17.0	-2.12
Lou Williams	47	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	11	-4	16.1	15.9	0.24	14.3	17.5	-3.18
Greivis Vasquez	27	29	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	17	-16	16.2	15.9	0.30	14.8	16.3	-1.45
James Johnson	26	28	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	17	-16	15.7	16.2	-0.50	16.2	15.7	0.53
Tyler Hansbrough	28	28	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	20	-22	15.6	16.2	-0.64	15.0	16.2	-1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.65,0.73,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	93.1%
ORL 95, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.6,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.9%
OKC 89, NOP 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.89,0.98,1,1	92.5%