inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 100 Excitement5.9 [643] MVPWesley Matthews (POR): +12.5%
Portland Trail Blazers 116 Comeback1.1 [1171] LVPTimofey Mozgov (DEN): -15.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.08-0.010.011462%0.0610.001100%0.01
Randy Foye0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.00753%0.0400.003100%0.01
Wilson Chandler0.020,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01462%0.0200.0000%0.00
Nate Robinson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02932%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Danilo Gallinari-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00342%-0.021-0.02683%0.00
Kenneth Faried-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.040.031651%0.012-0.065100%0.02
Ty Lawson-0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.02-0.040.021647%-0.032-0.06667%-0.05
JJ Hickson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.010.00840%-0.033-0.07450%-0.02
JaVale McGee-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.00450%0.024-0.12250%-0.01
Timofey Mozgov-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.09-0.040.021032%-0.092-0.06250%-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Matthews0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.05-0.011952%0.1300.0020%-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.03-0.002650%0.091-0.02475%-0.01
Chris Kaman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.01-0.03952%0.081-0.02580%0.01
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.06-0.000.023150%0.103-0.0500%0.00
CJ McCollum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.00475%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Damian Lillard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.000.03958%0.0200.001100%0.00
Joel Freeland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Meyers Leonard00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thomas Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.010.000.04350%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Robin Lopez0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.050.001246%-0.011-0.062100%0.01
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.030.011145%-0.023-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.528.415.324.62.733.0130.7
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +50.3%
DEN -7.9%
DEN -3.8%
POR +11.5%
DEN -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPORNBADENPORNBA
this game13.115.415.199.0114.9104.2
season14.615.3103.4106.5
opponent15.015.3102.7106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.811.814.413.413.1
POR16.715.813.915.415.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nate Robinson2929-0.00-0.500.49-0.186-222814.312.61.7415.115.6-0.53
JaVale McGee3233-0.07-0.430.36-0.132-182012.713.2-0.5113.316.5-3.14
Danilo Gallinari4243-0.13-0.370.23-0.161-171814.112.31.8014.216.4-2.15
JJ Hickson3030-0.14-0.360.22-0.08-2-141213.213.00.2315.615.40.17
Randy Foye3739-0.17-0.330.17-0.11-2-141214.112.51.6014.216.2-2.06
Arron Afflalo5553-0.34-0.16-0.180.19-182-2012.214.1-1.9516.614.12.52
Wilson Chandler5958-0.37-0.13-0.230.13-171-1812.314.1-1.8016.414.22.15
Kenneth Faried6363-0.37-0.13-0.230.04-14-2-1213.412.50.8716.314.12.19
Timofey Mozgov7776-0.43-0.07-0.350.10-182-2012.913.7-0.7815.614.90.75
Ty Lawson8181-0.49-0.01-0.480.04-182-2012.814.3-1.5315.415.6-0.19

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaMarcus Aldridge77760.54-0.040.58-0.0821-52615.714.70.9712.813.9-1.13
Wesley Matthews72730.52-0.020.53-0.1021-52616.014.11.8313.013.4-0.40
Nicolas Batum73730.420.080.350.10115616.014.01.9512.714.0-1.34
Robin Lopez59590.340.160.180.05106416.414.12.3512.513.8-1.27
Steve Blake47470.290.210.080.0397214.616.2-1.5514.012.21.82
CJ McCollum29280.220.28-0.06-0.0597213.616.2-2.5614.012.71.24
Chris Kaman40400.210.29-0.080.12313-1014.016.4-2.4314.112.41.67
Damian Lillard71710.120.38-0.270.14-117-1815.914.41.5312.713.9-1.23
Meyers Leonard220.000.50-0.50-0.09313-1016.015.40.578.513.2-4.66
Joel Freeland1314-0.010.51-0.520.02-117-1814.015.7-1.6614.412.91.50
Will Barton1111-0.070.57-0.63-0.04-117-1813.815.6-1.8312.213.2-1.00
Thomas Robinson1111-0.080.58-0.660.04-420-2415.515.40.1113.413.00.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 106, TOR 1180.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
CHI 92, MIA 1030.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.97,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
BOS 98, TOR 1100.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.77,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.1%