inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 98 Excitement8.0 [245] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +19.2%
Houston Rockets 87 Comeback2.9 [496] LVPJames Harden (HOU): -32.8%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.190,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.190.200.050.061985%0.375-0.182100%0.02
Marreese Speights0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.040.003100%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Andre Iguodala0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.021162%0.081-0.03250%-0.01
Andrew Bogut-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.02-0.021038%0.042-0.0510%-0.03
Festus Ezeli-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00267%0.042-0.062100%0.01
Draymond Green-0.070,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.001350%0.044-0.11250%-0.01
Leandro Barbosa-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.01837%-0.033-0.0700%0.00
Shaun Livingston-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.15-0.10-0.0040%-0.104-0.1500%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.290,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29,-0.29-0.21-0.11-0.031627%-0.174-0.12862%-0.04

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donatas Motiejunas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.06-0.001067%0.161-0.034100%0.02
Isaiah Canaan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.03-0.011275%0.235-0.134100%0.03
Troy Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00275%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Tarik Black0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.01325%-0.0500.0020%-0.03
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.00-0.030.04858%0.013-0.083100%0.02
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.18-0.07-0.011621%-0.192-0.06250%-0.01
Kostas Papanikolaou0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31-0.31-0.21-0.12-0.01911%-0.135-0.1800%0.00
James Harden0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.18,-0.24,-0.28,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33-0.33-0.14-0.190.012441%-0.105-0.23683%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.52.529.615.026.02.531.6133.7
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +46.3%
HOU -10.7%
GSW +19.2%
HOU -3.7%
HOU -1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWHOUNBAGSWHOUNBA
this game13.414.415.194.284.5104.2
season13.614.3109.2105.6
opponent14.915.5103.199.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.212.710.618.413.4
HOU16.812.614.813.714.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Klay Thompson67681.01-0.511.520.1928-174512.315.4-3.0115.312.72.67
Andre Iguodala70680.64-0.140.780.321101113.313.6-0.2213.416.3-2.92
Andrew Bogut78790.61-0.110.730.1715-41912.915.0-2.0615.012.52.45
Stephen Curry85840.500.000.490.1213-21513.512.90.6314.713.21.48
Harrison Barnes53510.330.170.16-0.0212-11312.014.8-2.8115.313.61.74
Draymond Green68700.240.26-0.020.1056-115.010.44.5414.713.90.79
Marreese Speights18160.030.47-0.440.03011-1111.213.9-2.7214.714.40.32
Festus Ezeli55-0.150.65-0.800.03-617-2326.212.813.438.414.7-6.32
Shaun Livingston3534-0.340.84-1.19-0.05-1021-3114.313.01.3113.614.8-1.24
Leandro Barbosa4140-0.370.87-1.240.01-1324-3713.913.10.7712.615.5-2.89

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Francisco Garcia21220.07-0.570.630.041-121312.814.8-2.0813.313.4-0.12
Donatas Motiejunas64630.02-0.520.540.08-2-9714.114.9-0.8114.212.21.97
Troy Daniels1012-0.06-0.440.380.03-3-8515.314.30.9811.713.6-1.88
Tarik Black3333-0.11-0.390.27-0.03-3-8515.713.81.8812.713.7-1.05
Jason Terry6365-0.16-0.340.19-0.181-121313.316.1-2.7913.613.00.62
James Harden9392-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.16-110-1114.513.90.5713.611.91.69
Trevor Ariza8485-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.19-10-1-914.713.21.5413.413.6-0.27
Isaiah Canaan8282-0.600.10-0.71-0.13-165-2114.713.41.3014.011.12.89
Kostas Papanikolaou6566-0.690.19-0.88-0.34-121-1314.713.90.8712.215.6-3.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.46,0.3,0.2,0.16,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.1,0.06,0.02,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 102, ORL 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.15,0.1,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.23,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.08,0.01,0,0,092.8%
DET 93, ORL 850.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.07,0.04,0.01,092.5%
MIL 106, POR 990.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.04,0.02,0.02,092.3%