NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	102		Excitement	6.7 [459]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +33.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	106		Comeback	5.0 [408]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -14.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	11	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.09	-0.07	0.04	10	70%	0.06	2	-0.08	7	71%	-0.03
Thomas Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Will Barton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.05	0.08	-0.07	0.05	14	78%	0.10	5	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.07	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	22	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Steve Blake	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.28	0.09	0.04	13	88%	0.38	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	18	55%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	16	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.02	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.05	0.04	24	41%	-0.11	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	29.6	15.7	29.5	1.8	35.2	141.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +18.9%

LAC +3.9%

POR -4.5%

LAC +32.3%

POR -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	15.7	14.9	15.1	108.5	112.8	104.2
season	15.3	14.6		106.5	110.5
opponent	15.3	15.0		104.6	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.0	13.9	15.6	14.6	15.7
LAC	13.8	16.8	13.2	16.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	20	22	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.09	5	-9	14	18.5	15.0	3.54	11.7	15.9	-4.18
Will Barton	20	19	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.02	1	-5	6	15.8	15.7	0.11	13.4	15.3	-1.95
Thomas Robinson	12	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-2	0	16.6	15.6	1.00	12.2	15.3	-3.11
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.33	3	-7	10	15.7	15.8	-0.10	15.5	12.8	2.68
Chris Kaman	37	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	4	-12	16.8	15.0	1.72	12.8	16.4	-3.59
Nicolas Batum	65	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-4	4	15.7	15.7	0.08	15.8	13.0	2.73
Wesley Matthews	65	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-2	0	14.2	19.1	-4.85	16.0	12.4	3.61
Robin Lopez	63	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-3	2	15.1	16.9	-1.78	16.1	12.7	3.35
Damian Lillard	74	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-3	2	15.2	17.6	-2.40	16.0	10.9	5.05
Steve Blake	39	38	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.13	-15	11	-26	17.4	14.5	2.86	12.2	16.8	-4.65

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	72	72	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.43	3	1	2	15.5	13.1	2.40	15.8	15.4	0.40
Matt Barnes	50	51	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	-6	16	14.0	16.0	-1.93	15.9	15.5	0.41
Spencer Hawes	23	23	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.05	11	-7	18	12.0	15.9	-3.82	18.1	14.9	3.20
Jordan Farmar	27	28	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	-3	10	11.7	16.2	-4.52	16.8	15.2	1.58
DeAndre Jordan	80	80	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.25	0	4	-4	15.1	13.9	1.26	15.5	16.9	-1.43
Glen Davis	18	18	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	1	2	12.6	15.5	-2.93	14.7	15.9	-1.23
Blake Griffin	67	67	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.41	-6	10	-16	16.3	11.4	4.88	15.4	16.5	-1.08
Chris Paul	70	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	7	-10	16.3	11.0	5.27	15.3	16.7	-1.37
Jamal Crawford	63	62	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.32	-5	9	-14	14.9	15.0	-0.11	15.4	16.4	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.62,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 89, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.31,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.68,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.86,0.95,1,0.99,1	92.3%
ORL 86, MEM 99	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.3%
MIN 86, MIL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.92,1	92.2%