NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	89		Excitement	6.5 [516]		MVP	Dikembe Mutombo (ATL): +14.8%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	4.4 [565]		LVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): -27.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Carr	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	7	81%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Maloney	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	5	75%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Randy Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	0.01	-0.03	0.05	14	53%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Elton Brand	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	20	49%	0.04	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	3	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	6	31%	-0.06	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.18,-0.22,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.19	-0.11	-0.03	20	29%	-0.22	1	-0.06	8	75%	0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	6	78%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	23	55%	0.18	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Bimbo Coles	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.02	7	57%	0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	20	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	7	40%	-0.05	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.5	25.4	15.7	26.3	3.5	35.3	135.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +48.8%

CHI -13.5%

ATL +7.4%

ATL +8.5%

CHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	16.7	15.1	15.2	98.9	105.5	101.7
season	16.5	15.4		91.8	99.3
opponent	15.2	14.9		105.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.4	16.7	17.1	15.8	16.7
ATL	16.1	15.3	14.2	14.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	7	6	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-8	9	20.9	16.4	4.48	14.7	15.1	-0.47
Hersey Hawkins	26	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-2	-3	14.5	17.6	-3.18	14.5	15.3	-0.87
Elton Brand	69	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-7	7	16.6	17.1	-0.55	15.8	12.7	3.09
Randy Brown	41	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-3	-1	17.8	15.8	2.03	14.4	15.7	-1.27
Dickey Simpkins	60	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.18	-1	-6	5	17.6	14.9	2.73	15.3	14.8	0.52
Chris Anstey	23	22	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	2	-11	16.9	16.7	0.26	16.5	14.7	1.83
Matt Maloney	49	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-4	1	15.8	17.8	-2.03	15.7	14.4	1.27
Chris Carr	45	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	0	-7	15.3	18.2	-2.87	15.5	14.7	0.88
Metta World Peace	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.35	-2	-5	3	16.8	16.5	0.28	13.8	18.4	-4.59
Toni Kukoc	65	66	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	-2	-3	17.3	15.2	2.16	15.0	15.4	-0.40

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	59	58	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.32	11	-4	15	14.8	15.7	-0.99	16.8	16.5	0.30
Isaiah Rider	79	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.30	8	-1	9	15.4	13.1	2.33	16.7	16.8	-0.11
Dikembe Mutombo	82	81	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	1	5	15.6	10.8	4.81	16.8	16.2	0.56
Jim Jackson	77	76	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	1	5	14.6	17.9	-3.25	16.5	18.0	-1.51
Jason Terry	47	47	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	5	-3	15.0	15.3	-0.32	16.2	17.3	-1.02
Bimbo Coles	44	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	2	3	15.3	15.0	0.32	17.3	16.2	1.02
LaPhonso Ellis	32	31	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	6	-5	15.2	15.1	0.12	15.5	17.4	-1.84
Anthony Johnson	7	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	8	-9	12.1	15.4	-3.21	17.7	16.7	1.01
Lorenzen Wright	20	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	9	-11	14.2	15.4	-1.10	16.5	16.8	-0.32
Cal Bowdler	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	8	-9	13.4	15.4	-2.01	16.8	16.7	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.31,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.68,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.86,0.95,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.57,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.95,0.98,1,1	93.4%
IND 86, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.95,0.99,1	93.2%
MIN 86, MIL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.92,1	93.2%