NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	86		Excitement	5.9 [603]		MVP	Mike Batiste (MEM): +13.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	99		Comeback	3.8 [191]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): -15.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	27	57%	0.15	3	-0.12	7	100%	0.03
Andrew DeClercq	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeryl Sasser	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Ryan Humphrey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.03
Pat Burke	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	16	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Pat Garrity	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	6	17%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	10	59%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	5	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	14	58%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	9	44%	-0.06
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	-0.07	6	17%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	55%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	60%	0.05	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	9	54%	-0.01	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	0.8	27.4	15.6	25.3	2.3	25.0	120.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +34.0%

ORL -15.0%

MEM +20.1%

MEM +9.4%

MEM +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MEM	NBA	ORL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.1	17.1	15.5	95.6	111.2	101.6
season	14.6	15.3		102.7	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.8		105.1	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.8	15.5	16.0	14.0	15.1
MEM	18.8	15.8	15.3	18.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	7	6	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.04	3	-16	19	15.9	15.0	0.83	19.2	17.0	2.21
Pat Burke	11	12	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-16	19	14.3	15.2	-0.93	13.9	17.6	-3.68
Andrew DeClercq	34	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-9	5	15.6	14.8	0.76	14.1	18.9	-4.83
Olumide Oyedeji	21	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-14	15	14.7	15.2	-0.49	16.8	17.2	-0.32
Jeryl Sasser	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-12	11	14.5	15.3	-0.78	14.4	18.0	-3.58
Ryan Humphrey	10	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-13	13	13.0	15.3	-2.35	15.8	17.3	-1.47
Jacque Vaughn	20	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-12	11	15.5	15.0	0.53	13.9	18.0	-4.06
Shawn Kemp	35	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-3	-7	14.9	15.2	-0.38	20.0	15.1	4.91
Pat Garrity	73	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	1	-15	15.1	14.9	0.18	18.0	13.5	4.51
Tracy McGrady	78	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-5	-3	15.4	13.2	2.12	17.6	14.2	3.39
Darrell Armstrong	63	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	2	-17	14.9	15.6	-0.72	17.9	15.2	2.75
Mike Miller	76	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.05	-19	6	-25	15.3	13.8	1.54	17.2	16.4	0.88

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	40	41	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	3	7	17.7	16.6	1.09	14.7	15.4	-0.66
Earl Watson	40	41	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	4	5	17.7	16.6	1.09	14.7	15.4	-0.66
Brevin Knight	38	38	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	4	5	16.8	17.3	-0.54	13.9	16.0	-2.07
Mike Batiste	37	37	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	4	5	17.2	17.0	0.20	14.3	15.7	-1.39
Drew Gooden	41	42	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	4	5	16.2	17.9	-1.73	14.2	15.9	-1.68
Shane Battier	48	48	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	9	-5	17.9	16.2	1.73	15.9	14.2	1.68
Pau Gasol	52	53	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	9	-5	17.0	17.2	-0.20	15.7	14.3	1.39
Jason Williams	51	52	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	9	-5	17.3	16.8	0.54	16.0	13.9	2.07
Gordan Giricek	49	49	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	9	-5	16.6	17.7	-1.09	15.4	14.7	0.66
Lorenzen Wright	49	49	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	10	-7	16.6	17.7	-1.09	15.4	14.7	0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
CHI 89, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.31,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.68,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.86,0.95,1,0.99,1	93.0%
CLE 86, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.59,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.76,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	92.8%