NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	112		Excitement	8.3 [212]		MVP	Gerald Green (PHX): +23.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	1.2 [1027]		LVP	PJ Tucker (PHX): -10.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.10	-0.00	19	63%	0.29	1	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0.19	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.19,0.19	0.03	0.14	-0.02	18	57%	0.27	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Isaiah Thomas	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	16	55%	0.14	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Eric Bledsoe	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11	0.01	0.11	0.01	4	55%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.08,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	12	52%	0.07	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Miles Plumlee	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
PJ Tucker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	5	30%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.07	0.00	10	52%	0.13	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	8	69%	0.11	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.08
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	13	46%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	40%	0.03	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.18,-0.15,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.09	-0.02	37	45%	0.08	3	-0.17	12	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	30.2	15.7	30.5	2.3	35.5	142.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +44.4%

LAL -3.4%

PHX +4.7%

PHX +1.6%

PHX +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	14.7	13.7	15.1	109.8	105.0	104.2
season	14.4	15.5		103.7	101.9
opponent	14.7	15.0		108.9	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.8	14.0	14.0	14.9	14.7
LAL	13.0	14.8	13.7	13.3	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	72	72	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	-2	10	14.7	14.7	-0.07	13.7	13.6	0.14
Isaiah Thomas	66	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	-5	16	14.6	14.9	-0.27	13.7	13.6	0.16
Gerald Green	50	49	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	-3	12	14.4	14.9	-0.52	13.7	13.7	0.06
Markieff Morris	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	3	0	14.2	15.8	-1.58	13.2	14.8	-1.65
Goran Dragic	65	63	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.25	-1	7	-8	14.4	15.2	-0.87	13.3	14.4	-1.10
Miles Plumlee	44	43	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	2	2	14.6	14.7	-0.09	14.0	13.4	0.63
Anthony Tolliver	17	17	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	0	6	15.2	14.6	0.59	15.1	13.4	1.65
Eric Bledsoe	45	45	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	11	-16	14.7	14.7	0.04	14.0	13.5	0.49
PJ Tucker	41	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	10	-14	15.7	14.0	1.67	13.6	13.7	-0.05
Alex Len	41	42	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	7	-8	15.4	14.2	1.18	13.8	13.6	0.18

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	14	13	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-9	12	14.9	13.5	1.45	15.3	14.6	0.71
Ed Davis	38	38	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-10	14	13.1	14.1	-1.01	16.4	13.7	2.72
Jordan Clarkson	8	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-5	4	13.4	13.7	-0.33	17.4	14.5	2.92
Ronnie Price	42	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-8	10	14.3	13.2	1.07	15.1	14.4	0.71
Carlos Boozer	61	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	1	-8	13.7	13.7	-0.03	14.6	14.8	-0.19
Wayne Ellington	45	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.31	2	-8	10	13.3	14.0	-0.67	15.1	14.3	0.74
Jeremy Lin	59	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.15	-8	2	-10	13.2	14.3	-1.07	14.4	15.1	-0.71
Kobe Bryant	93	94	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	-1	-4	13.7	13.4	0.33	14.5	17.4	-2.92
Jordan Hill	72	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.30	-9	3	-12	14.2	12.5	1.64	14.2	15.8	-1.55
Wesley Johnson	73	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	5	-16	13.5	14.0	-0.49	13.9	16.6	-2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.1,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 105, MIL 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.29,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.23,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.15,0.02,0	94.5%
MIN 102, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.18,0	92.7%
CHA 102, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.1,0.04,0	92.6%