NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	7.9 [216]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (MIL): +12.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	99		Comeback	1.2 [454]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -17.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Hansbrough	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.00	6	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	12	38%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
George Hill	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	52%	0.13	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Danny Granger	0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	17	58%	0.14	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.00	0.07	14	61%	0.04	0	0.00	10	90%	0.03
Paul George	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Dahntay Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	8	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	13	38%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	8	65%	0.17	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.07
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	7	87%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	18	53%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	5	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.08	6	33%	-0.06
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.07	0.01	8	61%	0.04	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.03	0.02	10	29%	-0.08	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.13	-0.02	19	40%	-0.09	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.4	28.7	15.6	22.8	2.4	32.5	131.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -7.9%

IND +18.1%

IND +28.7%

IND +6.5%

IND +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	16.7	13.7	15.6	109.4	106.5	102.8
season	15.7	14.6		104.2	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.6		103.4	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.3	14.8	18.3	17.7	16.7
MIL	15.0	14.0	12.5	13.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	66	63	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.29	17	-11	28	15.8	18.8	-3.01	13.3	14.4	-1.08
Roy Hibbert	64	61	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-8	22	16.0	18.2	-2.14	13.2	14.7	-1.46
Paul George	56	55	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.23	12	-6	18	15.2	18.8	-3.64	13.5	13.9	-0.42
Danny Granger	64	61	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.29	10	-4	14	15.9	18.4	-2.52	13.6	13.9	-0.27
David West	66	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	2	2	15.9	18.5	-2.58	14.2	12.5	1.72
Lou Amundson	19	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	9	-12	18.5	16.3	2.24	13.2	13.8	-0.64
Tyler Hansbrough	42	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	9	-12	18.6	15.3	3.32	13.9	13.6	0.28
Leandro Barbosa	43	40	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.11	-6	12	-18	18.2	15.5	2.72	13.6	13.8	-0.22
Dahntay Jones	30	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	10	-14	18.7	15.8	2.92	14.4	13.4	0.99
A.J. Price	30	30	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.04	-11	17	-28	18.8	15.8	3.01	14.4	13.3	1.08

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	14	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-6	6	13.3	13.8	-0.49	18.1	16.5	1.59
Ersan Ilyasova	43	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-10	14	13.5	13.8	-0.31	15.4	17.9	-2.48
Luc Mbah a Moute	33	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-10	14	14.5	13.2	1.27	18.4	15.7	2.70
Drew Gooden	50	53	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	1	-8	14.5	12.7	1.82	15.7	18.0	-2.39
Monta Ellis	74	75	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-4	2	13.8	13.3	0.55	16.3	18.2	-1.93
Mike Dunleavy	42	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-6	6	13.4	13.9	-0.49	17.5	16.1	1.33
Ekpe Udoh	28	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	4	-14	12.5	14.2	-1.77	16.0	17.0	-1.04
Larry Sanders	47	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-5	4	12.9	14.5	-1.54	18.3	15.2	3.07
Carlos Delfino	46	48	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	5	-16	14.3	13.1	1.28	16.7	16.7	0.04
Brandon Jennings	88	91	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	1	-8	13.6	16.2	-2.64	16.5	20.4	-3.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.29,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.23,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 112, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.1,0.16,0	94.5%
DAL 93, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.08,0	93.2%
MIN 102, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.18,0	93.1%