NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	90		Excitement	7.0 [411]		MVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): +17.1%
Chicago Bulls	98		Comeback	1.9 [938]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): -27.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	15	64%	0.19	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	4	112%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Fournier	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	14	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.03	14	26%	-0.11	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.06
Nikola Vucevic	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.16,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28	-0.13	-0.12	0.02	22	43%	-0.09	6	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.14	-0.00	5	67%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	6	80%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	12	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.07	0.00	11	57%	0.10	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	16	44%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	0.06	15	51%	-0.02	2	-0.04	11	64%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	29.5	15.6	24.4	2.4	35.3	133.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +23.7%

CHI +23.8%

ORL -18.7%

CHI +16.6%

CHI +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHI	NBA	ORL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	15.1	98.9	105.4	104.2
season	14.9	15.5		100.4	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.3		102.5	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.0	15.1	18.9	16.6	15.8
CHI	17.0	15.5	15.4	14.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dewayne Dedmon	11	12	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-7	6	16.5	15.7	0.78	17.5	15.2	2.25
Ben Gordon	31	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-6	4	16.5	15.4	1.03	16.6	15.0	1.66
Tobias Harris	72	73	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-8	8	15.3	17.4	-2.09	15.5	15.6	-0.08
Aaron Gordon	26	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-6	4	16.1	15.6	0.43	14.7	15.9	-1.12
Elfrid Payton	60	62	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-6	4	16.1	15.2	0.87	15.7	15.3	0.37
Luke Ridnour	31	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-2	-4	15.2	16.1	-0.87	15.3	15.7	-0.37
Nikola Vucevic	77	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	-1	-6	15.8	15.4	0.49	15.7	14.8	0.88
Channing Frye	69	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.30	-8	0	-8	15.9	15.5	0.42	15.1	16.8	-1.68
Evan Fournier	78	80	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.30	-12	4	-16	15.5	17.2	-1.62	15.3	16.9	-1.61

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	58	54	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-2	12	15.7	15.3	0.40	15.7	15.8	-0.07
Taj Gibson	63	62	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	2	4	15.8	15.0	0.84	16.1	15.0	1.08
Tony Snell	29	29	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	-1	10	14.6	16.0	-1.38	16.7	15.3	1.40
Kirk Hinrich	59	59	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	3	2	15.1	16.4	-1.29	16.1	15.2	0.95
Nikola Mirotic	44	43	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.11	9	-1	10	14.7	16.3	-1.58	16.2	15.4	0.79
Pau Gasol	79	77	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.11	1	7	-6	15.8	14.1	1.64	15.3	18.6	-3.31
Jimmy Butler	69	66	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	9	-10	15.9	14.6	1.23	15.1	17.5	-2.41
Mike Dunleavy	42	43	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	6	-4	15.5	15.5	-0.03	16.1	15.5	0.66
Doug McDermott	21	20	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	7	-6	17.5	15.0	2.50	15.3	15.9	-0.54
E'Twaun Moore	1	2	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	10	-12	0.0	15.7	-15.71	11.5	15.9	-4.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 82, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,1	94.1%
DAL 92, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,1	92.5%
MEM 128, WAS 135	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.68,0.63,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.91,1	92.4%