NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	94		Excitement	7.6 [316]		MVP	Evan Fournier (DEN): +30.1%
Denver Nuggets	101		Comeback	4.7 [613]		LVP	Jan Vesely (DEN): -12.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Burke	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	13	44%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	14	63%	0.16	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	53%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	39%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Alec Burks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.01	10	52%	0.07	3	-0.09	5	20%	-0.08
Rudy Gobert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Diante Garrett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.04	0,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	0.01	0.07	18	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.06

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.10	0.20	0.00	16	59%	0.32	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.04
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.17	0.03	13	74%	0.33	4	-0.07	9	100%	0.03
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	19	59%	0.21	6	-0.18	3	67%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	11	39%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Aaron Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	13	29%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	27.2	15.8	25.5	2.0	40.4	138.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +32.6%

UTA -3.5%

DEN +30.9%

UTA -9.0%

UTA -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DEN	NBA	UTA	DEN	NBA
this game	15.4	14.3	15.1	96.9	104.1	105.2
season	16.2	14.0		102.1	104.5
opponent	14.9	14.8		106.4	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.0	17.2	14.7	14.8	15.4
DEN	15.7	12.8	14.1	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Clark	13	13	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-10	13	11.7	16.0	-4.28	16.7	13.9	2.78
Rudy Gobert	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-4	1	19.7	15.0	4.74	10.0	14.7	-4.67
Diante Garrett	28	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-7	7	17.0	14.8	2.25	14.2	14.3	-0.17
Trey Burke	86	85	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-7	7	15.2	16.7	-1.49	14.0	16.6	-2.62
Enes Kanter	77	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	0	-7	15.7	14.2	1.45	13.4	17.2	-3.74
Jeremy Evans	41	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	0	-7	14.0	16.5	-2.51	16.1	12.9	3.22
Richard Jefferson	51	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	2	-11	15.2	15.7	-0.52	15.0	13.4	1.57
Derrick Favors	67	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-10	13	15.6	15.0	0.53	15.0	12.7	2.33
Alec Burks	50	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	14.3	16.6	-2.27	14.4	14.1	0.30
Gordon Hayward	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	16.5	12.6	3.93	13.5	16.2	-2.66

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Fournier	62	61	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.31	12	-5	17	14.6	13.7	0.99	15.2	15.8	-0.64
Randy Foye	80	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	2	3	14.0	15.4	-1.36	16.1	12.6	3.45
Timofey Mozgov	67	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	2	3	13.6	15.8	-2.24	15.5	15.1	0.38
Kenneth Faried	86	85	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.24	8	-1	9	14.1	15.5	-1.32	15.7	13.1	2.65
Aaron Brooks	82	83	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	-2	11	14.1	15.1	-0.92	15.1	17.1	-2.03
Wilson Chandler	43	43	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	6	-5	14.3	14.3	0.07	15.2	15.6	-0.39
Jan Vesely	33	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	7	-7	15.5	13.7	1.77	14.9	15.6	-0.70
Darrell Arthur	4	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	7	-7	16.5	14.2	2.31	9.6	15.7	-6.12
Quincy Miller	28	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	12	-17	15.0	14.0	0.95	15.6	15.3	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.3,0.24,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.27,0.29,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.71,0.73,0.61,0.95,0.96,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 98, POR 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.3,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.9,0.75,0.93,0.98,1,1	91.8%
DEN 94, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.93,0.96,1,1	91.5%
IND 91, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.32,0.53,0.76,0.6,0.52,0.85,0.94,0.99,1	91.4%