NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	6.6 [491]		MVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): +17.0%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	1.2 [1045]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (LAL): -17.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.02	15	64%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Wesley Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	17	49%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	37%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jordan Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	15	45%	-0.03	1	-0.04	10	80%	-0.00
Kendall Marshall	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	9	39%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	18	39%	-0.08	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.08	-0.01	24	56%	0.23	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	0.00	14	61%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.02	22	56%	0.18	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	55%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Ben McLemore	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	52%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jared Cunningham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	29.2	16.4	23.6	2.3	31.6	132.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +43.7%

SAC +1.6%

LAL -10.7%

SAC +13.5%

SAC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	13.3	16.1	15.1	104.1	109.2	105.2
season	14.0	15.4		102.9	104.5
opponent	14.7	14.8		107.1	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.6	14.4	13.2	12.9	13.3
SAC	15.5	13.8	17.5	17.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	55	57	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.34	11	-16	27	12.9	13.8	-0.86	17.0	14.8	2.20
MarShon Brooks	15	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	0	-5	14.0	13.2	0.82	13.0	16.6	-3.64
Jordan Hill	58	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-6	7	13.3	13.3	0.01	16.0	16.1	-0.12
Kendall Marshall	64	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.25	1	-6	7	13.6	12.8	0.74	17.0	14.2	2.81
Kent Bazemore	64	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-1	-3	13.0	13.8	-0.75	15.7	16.7	-0.98
Jodie Meeks	74	72	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.29	0	-5	5	13.5	12.8	0.63	16.1	16.0	0.11
Robert Sacre	40	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.14	-6	1	-7	13.3	13.3	-0.01	16.1	16.0	0.12
Wesley Johnson	58	57	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.26	-9	4	-13	13.2	13.4	-0.20	15.7	16.6	-0.95
Nick Young	62	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.17	-14	9	-23	13.4	13.2	0.18	15.7	16.7	-1.06

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	66	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-4	13	15.9	16.5	-0.62	13.2	13.6	-0.41
Ben McLemore	92	92	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-2	9	16.2	14.3	1.86	13.4	12.5	0.86
Ray McCallum	93	94	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	2	1	16.2	14.6	1.56	13.3	13.0	0.32
Jason Thompson	48	48	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.14	9	-4	13	16.1	16.0	0.13	13.6	13.0	0.62
Rudy Gay	86	86	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	6	-7	16.4	13.7	2.66	13.1	14.7	-1.55
Derrick Williams	22	22	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	1	3	14.2	16.6	-2.39	13.2	13.3	-0.10
Jared Cunningham	5	4	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	3	-1	14.6	16.2	-1.56	13.0	13.3	-0.32
Reggie Evans	34	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	6	-7	16.8	15.7	1.09	13.7	13.1	0.57
DeMarcus Cousins	44	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.18	-7	12	-19	15.8	16.3	-0.48	13.2	13.4	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.52,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.62,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 112, POR 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
TOR 99, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.1%
MIL 92, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.91,1	94.0%