NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	90		Excitement	3.2 [1143]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +11.2%
San Antonio Spurs	111		Comeback	1.3 [1176]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -9.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	8	83%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	18	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.01	0.07	16	65%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.00	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	12	39%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	15	37%	-0.02	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	65%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	11	62%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	52%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	13	60%	0.09	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	8	81%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	5	82%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	28.1	15.4	23.7	1.8	22.2	115.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +22.2%

SAS +5.2%

SAS +18.8%

SAS +2.8%

SAS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAS	NBA	GSW	SAS	NBA
this game	14.3	16.0	15.1	94.7	116.8	105.2
season	14.2	15.0		105.9	109.8
opponent	15.0	15.3		101.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.2	12.4	13.8	17.2	14.3
SAS	15.1	15.9	16.9	16.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	9	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-19	17	12.1	14.5	-2.41	16.5	16.0	0.54
Hilton Armstrong	32	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-18	15	16.2	13.3	2.85	15.6	16.2	-0.65
Marreese Speights	57	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.25	4	-25	29	14.3	14.2	0.10	17.2	14.4	2.78
Steve Blake	47	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-12	3	15.1	13.5	1.61	15.1	16.9	-1.73
Harrison Barnes	71	71	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.14	-13	-8	-5	14.3	14.2	0.12	16.1	15.7	0.42
Stephen Curry	62	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.11	-19	-2	-17	13.7	15.5	-1.78	16.3	15.5	0.81
Jordan Crawford	68	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	-2	-17	14.6	13.6	1.03	15.4	17.5	-2.04
Klay Thompson	64	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.26	-25	4	-29	14.3	14.2	0.10	15.7	16.8	-1.06
Draymond Green	65	65	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.08	-19	-2	-17	13.3	16.5	-3.27	16.4	15.3	1.05

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	57	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	6	9	16.8	14.9	1.92	14.2	14.5	-0.27
Tony Parker	55	55	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	5	11	17.0	14.7	2.33	13.8	14.9	-1.13
Boris Diaw	64	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	9	3	17.5	12.9	4.68	14.3	14.2	0.07
Manu Ginobili	40	41	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.25	21	0	21	14.6	17.1	-2.50	13.5	14.9	-1.42
Danny Green	56	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.30	20	1	19	15.3	17.0	-1.70	13.7	15.2	-1.46
Marco Belinelli	56	56	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	12	-3	15.1	17.3	-2.18	14.6	13.8	0.80
Tim Duncan	39	40	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	14	-7	17.8	14.8	3.01	13.5	14.9	-1.33
Tiago Splitter	24	24	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	22	-23	12.7	17.1	-4.38	13.7	14.5	-0.73
Patty Mills	40	40	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	16	-11	14.7	17.0	-2.33	14.9	13.8	1.13
Jeff Ayres	26	25	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	16	-11	15.6	16.2	-0.61	15.8	13.7	2.10
Cory Joseph	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	25	-29	17.5	15.7	1.82	17.7	13.6	4.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 96, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHI 80, MIA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NJN 95, CHI 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%