NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	3.9 [1010]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +27.1%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	1.1 [442]		LVP	Scot Pollard (SAC): -11.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	17	52%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	59%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Chucky Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	11	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	40%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	11	54%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	12	43%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	50%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	15	40%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	7	44%	-0.05	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.29	0.02	0.05	26	77%	0.29	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	0.06	20	53%	-0.03	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	0.00	-0.03	17	41%	-0.04	4	-0.07	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.4	27.4	16.7	27.2	2.4	26.6	123.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +23.5%

NYK +5.9%

NYK +7.0%

NYK +12.6%

NYK +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NYK	NBA	SAC	NYK	NBA
this game	13.8	15.5	15.6	99.0	114.1	102.3
season	14.2	15.9		106.6	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.5		103.9	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.5	11.9	12.8	14.4	13.8
NYK	13.5	16.9	14.9	16.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-13	9	8.8	14.1	-5.32	18.7	15.3	3.34
Chucky Brown	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-13	9	8.8	14.1	-5.32	18.7	15.3	3.34
Lawrence Funderburke	45	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-17	17	13.8	13.9	-0.04	16.5	14.6	1.92
Bobby Jackson	49	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-13	9	13.7	14.0	-0.31	16.3	14.8	1.48
Hedo Turkoglu	51	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-17	17	13.0	14.7	-1.70	16.4	14.6	1.77
Peja Stojakovic	54	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-10	3	14.1	13.6	0.47	14.9	16.2	-1.28
Vlade Divac	76	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-5	-7	14.0	13.3	0.65	15.0	17.5	-2.54
Doug Christie	61	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.12	-20	3	-23	14.1	13.4	0.64	15.0	16.3	-1.28
Scot Pollard	68	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.04	-18	1	-19	14.1	13.3	0.76	15.2	16.3	-1.12
Mike Bibby	71	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.05	-16	-1	-15	14.5	12.0	2.52	15.0	17.0	-2.00

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	76	75	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.20	26	-9	35	15.1	17.1	-2.03	13.7	14.3	-0.55
Latrell Sprewell	96	93	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.01	17	0	17	15.6	12.0	3.64	13.9	12.5	1.40
Kurt Thomas	90	88	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.03	18	-1	19	15.7	13.4	2.29	14.0	12.0	2.03
Allan Houston	82	81	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	4	9	15.3	16.8	-1.50	14.3	11.7	2.58
Charlie Ward	35	32	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	7	3	15.5	15.5	0.03	13.6	14.0	-0.33
Mark Jackson	61	61	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	8	1	15.2	16.1	-0.90	14.0	13.6	0.37
Shandon Anderson	20	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	13	-9	16.0	15.4	0.66	11.8	14.4	-2.51
Travis Knight	4	4	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	18	-19	18.0	15.4	2.58	15.7	13.8	1.99
Howard Eisley	3	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	19	-21	22.3	15.3	7.02	13.5	13.9	-0.36
Othella Harrington	28	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.20	-9	26	-35	15.8	15.4	0.36	13.3	14.1	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 90, SAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
LAC 98, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
LAC 75, HOU 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%