NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	95		Excitement	2.8 [979]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (CHI): +14.9%
Chicago Bulls	110		Comeback	1.1 [1064]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (NJN): -6.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawne Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.00	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Jordan Farmar	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.14	-0.00	0.09	9	92%	0.10	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	14	52%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Larry Owens	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Johan Petro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	14	53%	0.04	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	10	33%	-0.05	2	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.00	-0.05	16	69%	0.15	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	70%	0.09	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	16	65%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	71%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	9	70%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	46%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	27.3	15.5	25.6	2.6	30.5	128.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +35.5%

CHI +1.4%

CHI +6.3%

CHI +6.5%

CHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	17.2	16.3	15.6	109.2	129.4	102.8
season	16.2	16.0		101.3	104.7
opponent	15.9	15.2		97.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	19.0	16.7	18.5	14.6	17.2
CHI	16.8	16.8	14.3	17.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sundiata Gaines	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-18	21	14.3	17.8	-3.44	17.3	16.1	1.25
Johan Petro	28	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-12	9	14.0	18.7	-4.64	18.4	15.3	3.08
Shawne Williams	37	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-17	19	17.0	17.3	-0.37	15.4	16.9	-1.52
Shelden Williams	26	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-13	11	17.3	17.1	0.18	17.6	15.7	1.90
DeShawn Stevenson	18	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-2	-11	22.3	15.8	6.49	15.1	16.5	-1.41
Larry Owens	51	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-8	1	16.1	18.7	-2.53	17.0	15.1	1.92
Mehmet Okur	40	39	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-5	-5	18.4	16.1	2.25	15.5	17.0	-1.54
Jordan Farmar	58	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.15	-5	-10	5	16.1	19.3	-3.24	16.9	15.0	1.84
Deron Williams	58	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-3	-9	17.4	16.8	0.64	16.0	16.9	-0.88
Anthony Morrow	59	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-5	-5	18.2	15.1	3.01	15.5	18.0	-2.55
Kris Humphries	45	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	3	-21	18.1	16.2	1.87	15.5	17.1	-1.66

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	75	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.07	21	-6	27	15.9	19.1	-3.18	17.5	14.8	2.69
Joakim Noah	55	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	5	5	16.1	16.6	-0.47	16.3	18.8	-2.47
Carlos Boozer	61	62	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	7	1	15.2	19.0	-3.77	16.8	18.2	-1.48
Derrick Rose	65	67	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	7	1	16.2	16.6	-0.47	16.5	19.5	-3.01
Ronnie Brewer	48	51	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	5	5	15.8	17.0	-1.20	17.1	17.3	-0.21
Brian Scalabrine	38	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	9	-3	17.5	15.3	2.23	18.2	16.4	1.73
CJ Watson	26	26	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	10	-5	16.8	16.1	0.68	18.5	16.6	1.93
Omer Asik	16	17	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.03	6	9	-3	18.0	15.9	2.10	19.4	16.6	2.77
Kyle Korver	41	40	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	14	-13	17.5	15.2	2.26	17.0	17.4	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 83, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
NYK 72, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
IND 94, OKC 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%