NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	89		Excitement	7.4 [340]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): +18.1%
Golden State Warriors	84		Comeback	3.2 [151]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (GSW): -13.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.08	-0.01	12	62%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,0.07	-0.06	0.14	0.01	21	40%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.06
Pablo Prigioni	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	150%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.08	0.00	17	58%	0.12	1	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	14	44%	0.05	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.05
Raymond Felton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.02	0.02	0.14	-0.10	0.03	21	64%	0.10	2	-0.08	8	75%	-0.02
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.09,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.05	0.01	4	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	18	42%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	7	31%	-0.03	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.8	25.4	15.5	25.9	1.8	42.0	139.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +30.9%

NYK +17.9%

GSW -2.1%

NYK +0.7%

NYK +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	GSW	NBA	NYK	GSW	NBA
this game	17.1	16.0	15.1	102.3	96.6	105.2
season	16.0	14.2		106.4	105.9
opponent	15.3	15.4		102.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.2	13.7	18.5	19.5	17.1
GSW	15.5	16.9	15.8	15.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	75	75	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.37	10	-5	15	16.9	19.0	-2.15	16.2	14.3	1.88
Iman Shumpert	50	49	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-7	19	16.2	18.4	-2.23	15.5	16.5	-0.97
Tim Hardaway Jr.	50	49	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-10	25	16.7	17.8	-1.06	16.6	15.2	1.37
Raymond Felton	53	53	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.39	1	4	-3	17.2	17.1	0.05	14.3	18.5	-4.18
Tyson Chandler	51	52	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.20	-1	6	-7	17.3	17.0	0.25	17.1	14.3	2.84
Shannon Brown	2	2	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	3	-1	12.0	17.3	-5.27	10.5	16.1	-5.58
Pablo Prigioni	34	34	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	1	3	17.1	17.2	-0.05	18.5	14.3	4.18
Amar'e Stoudemire	59	59	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	9	-13	17.5	16.5	0.96	15.2	17.5	-2.28
Carmelo Anthony	61	62	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.42	-14	19	-33	18.4	14.1	4.33	15.4	17.3	-1.86

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marreese Speights	36	34	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.09	8	-13	21	15.2	16.5	-1.30	16.8	17.4	-0.53
Jordan Crawford	12	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	2	-9	20.7	15.2	5.47	16.1	17.3	-1.24
Jermaine O'Neal	51	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-4	3	17.3	14.0	3.33	17.3	16.9	0.40
Steve Blake	35	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-2	-1	16.6	15.5	1.13	18.9	15.9	3.06
Stephen Curry	74	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.46	5	-10	15	15.4	19.2	-3.85	17.3	16.1	1.24
Andre Iguodala	64	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-4	3	15.1	18.3	-3.25	17.0	17.5	-0.54
Klay Thompson	68	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.42	2	-7	9	15.0	19.3	-4.23	16.9	18.1	-1.16
Draymond Green	58	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	5	-15	15.8	16.2	-0.38	16.8	17.9	-1.10
Harrison Barnes	37	38	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.06	-18	13	-31	17.2	15.1	2.10	16.8	17.4	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.18,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.28,0.14,0.22,0.33,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 104, BKN 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.08,0	91.2%
DEN 101, DET 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0,0	90.7%
MIL 90, CHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.23,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.47,0.31,0.43,0.45,0.15,0	90.4%