NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	81		Excitement	2.6 [1230]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +11.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder	94		Comeback	1.1 [1294]		LVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): -12.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	13	65%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ben McLemore	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.00	0.07	16	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Ray McCallum	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	16	37%	-0.05	2	-0.01	3	0%	-0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	11	30%	-0.06	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.25	-0.00	0.13	11	97%	0.15	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	52%	0.02	2	-0.00	3	0%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	64%	0.07	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	10	30%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.6	33.3	16.4	25.5	2.5	23.6	133.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +44.5%

OKC +6.6%

SAC -3.4%

OKC +3.3%

SAC -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	OKC	NBA	SAC	OKC	NBA
this game	17.2	14.7	15.1	89.0	104.4	105.2
season	15.4	14.4		104.5	107.8
opponent	15.4	14.7		102.9	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.7	17.9	19.7	15.2	17.2
OKC	13.1	12.6	13.6	19.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	5	4	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-13	13	17.2	17.2	0.05	6.5	15.0	-8.53
Jason Thompson	53	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.56	13	-26	39	16.0	18.8	-2.81	16.5	12.2	4.32
Quincy Acy	55	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.57	12	-25	37	16.4	18.3	-1.91	16.0	12.8	3.22
Travis Outlaw	57	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.39	5	-18	23	16.7	17.9	-1.12	16.3	12.0	4.27
Reggie Evans	36	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.45	-25	12	-37	18.3	16.4	1.91	12.8	16.0	-3.22
DeMarcus Cousins	33	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.46	-26	13	-39	19.0	16.1	2.94	12.8	15.8	-2.94
Rudy Gay	41	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.25	-20	7	-27	18.6	15.9	2.69	12.5	16.4	-3.89
Ray McCallum	87	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-3	-7	17.0	21.0	-4.02	14.7	13.5	1.21
Ben McLemore	88	87	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.10	-14	1	-15	16.9	24.3	-7.42	14.6	17.3	-2.77

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	58	58	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.39	27	-14	41	12.8	18.0	-5.19	17.7	16.1	1.62
Serge Ibaka	61	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	-3	19	12.7	18.9	-6.21	17.7	16.1	1.57
Hasheem Thabeet	38	38	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	1	11	14.8	14.6	0.19	16.2	17.8	-1.66
Russell Westbrook	50	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	-1	15	11.9	18.0	-6.11	17.4	16.9	0.50
Nick Collison	24	27	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	-3	19	16.7	13.9	2.74	17.6	17.0	0.68
Jeremy Lamb	58	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	17	-21	16.7	10.9	5.87	16.8	17.8	-1.02
Caron Butler	47	47	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.28	-2	15	-17	16.5	12.6	3.88	16.7	17.6	-0.85
Derek Fisher	31	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	9	-5	16.8	13.5	3.23	16.2	17.7	-1.48
Andre Roberson	30	32	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	6	1	12.6	15.7	-3.13	17.6	16.9	0.63
Steven Adams	28	29	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	16	-19	13.7	15.1	-1.42	17.8	16.8	0.99
Reggie Williams	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	20	-27	19.5	14.0	5.57	17.8	17.1	0.73
Perry Jones	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	28	-43	20.0	13.7	6.33	15.6	17.4	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 111, ORL 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.77,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
LAL 80, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CLE 76, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%