NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	111		Excitement	2.5 [1239]		MVP	Vince Carter (ORL): +14.6%
Orlando Magic	125		Comeback	1.0 [1283]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -9.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	9	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rodney Carney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	58%	0.02	1	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.16	0.00	0.15	14	70%	0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	7	79%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.06	7	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.04	7	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	9	35%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.00	0.03	8	100%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.04	13	81%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	-0.06	9	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	71%	0.08	3	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	10	60%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	41%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	5	83%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.14	0.00	0.13	6	89%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	58%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	64%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	28.3	17.4	24.6	2.5	28.2	127.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +45.4%

ORL +4.4%

ORL +0.3%

PHI -1.3%

ORL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.4	15.3	120.7	134.4	106.0
season	15.1	15.4		104.2	110.1
opponent	15.9	15.8		101.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.5	14.5	16.7	10.7	14.8
ORL	13.0	17.5	16.8	18.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	46	48	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.46	16	-30	46	12.2	17.3	-5.11	17.4	15.3	2.11
Willie Green	34	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-18	22	11.9	16.4	-4.46	17.8	15.5	2.28
Jodie Meeks	51	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.38	10	-24	34	12.3	17.9	-5.60	17.7	14.7	2.99
Jason Smith	19	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.05	-2	-12	10	12.3	15.4	-3.07	16.5	16.3	0.22
Lou Williams	55	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-14	14	12.4	18.2	-5.84	16.9	15.6	1.34
Marreese Speights	47	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-15	16	11.8	17.8	-6.06	16.2	16.5	-0.32
Elton Brand	31	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.17	-17	3	-20	18.7	12.8	5.92	14.3	17.4	-3.07
Samuel Dalembert	41	40	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.24	-21	7	-28	18.5	11.8	6.70	15.3	17.2	-1.89
Jrue Holiday	40	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.13	-18	4	-22	18.3	12.0	6.24	15.1	17.4	-2.29
Jason Kapono	39	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.27	-23	9	-32	17.9	12.4	5.55	15.7	16.9	-1.17
Andre Iguodala	57	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.18	-20	6	-26	16.8	11.5	5.31	16.2	16.6	-0.43

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	54	54	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.37	32	-18	50	15.4	17.7	-2.22	17.1	11.4	5.72
Vince Carter	47	47	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.38	30	-16	46	15.5	17.3	-1.84	17.1	12.3	4.86
Matt Barnes	48	48	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.33	27	-13	40	14.8	18.0	-3.19	17.0	12.3	4.75
Rashard Lewis	50	49	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.15	17	-3	20	16.0	16.8	-0.73	17.7	11.4	6.30
Jameer Nelson	46	46	0.34	0.15	0.19	-0.21	19	-5	24	16.3	16.4	-0.06	17.8	11.7	6.15
Jason Williams	35	34	0.15	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	11	-8	17.0	16.0	1.00	12.8	15.9	-3.06
Brandon Bass	26	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.30	-5	19	-24	15.2	16.8	-1.64	10.6	16.3	-5.64
Mickael Pietrus	48	47	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.42	-13	27	-40	17.8	14.8	2.97	12.4	17.2	-4.71
JJ Redick	46	45	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.47	-16	30	-46	17.3	15.5	1.84	12.3	17.1	-4.86
Ryan Anderson	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.27	-9	23	-32	18.6	15.7	2.90	10.1	16.2	-6.12
Anthony Johnson	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	22	-30	14.7	16.6	-1.96	8.4	15.7	-7.28
Marcin Gortat	31	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.14	-7	21	-28	18.1	15.5	2.63	12.6	15.9	-3.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.81,0.77,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 81, OKC 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
HOU 98, LAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.8,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
CHI 87, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%