NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	6.3 [567]		MVP	Jordan Hill (LAL): +25.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	108		Comeback	2.2 [615]		LVP	Kendall Marshall (LAL): -15.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hill	0.25	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25	0.19	0.06	-0.00	17	78%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Robert Sacre	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Wesley Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	3	56%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	14	57%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Xavier Henry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	0.03	7	56%	0.02	5	-0.14	2	0%	-0.03
Kendall Marshall	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	7	36%	-0.04	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	10	65%	0.18	1	-0.02	14	79%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	6	53%	0.10	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.02
Khris Middleton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	9	78%	0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	21	62%	0.13	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.08	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.8	27.5	15.7	27.2	2.4	36.8	134.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +26.9%

MIL +10.7%

MIL +2.9%

MIL +9.6%

LAL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIL	NBA	LAL	MIL	NBA
this game	13.6	15.9	15.1	108.2	110.2	105.2
season	14.0	15.7		102.9	101.4
opponent	15.1	14.8		109.7	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.5	13.9	13.7	13.5	13.6
MIL	13.2	14.9	17.6	18.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	36	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-3	3	13.3	13.8	-0.53	16.7	15.4	1.29
Kent Bazemore	39	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-1	-1	12.8	14.2	-1.37	13.4	17.5	-4.11
Kendall Marshall	53	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-6	9	14.0	13.2	0.84	17.7	13.6	4.11
Ryan Kelly	34	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	4	-11	14.6	13.1	1.42	14.6	16.5	-1.89
Chris Kaman	43	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	2	-7	13.8	13.5	0.31	16.1	15.7	0.41
Jordan Hill	62	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-7	11	13.2	14.4	-1.15	16.7	14.3	2.49
Robert Sacre	54	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-5	7	13.5	13.8	-0.31	15.7	16.1	-0.41
Nick Young	59	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-4	5	13.5	13.8	-0.33	15.7	16.2	-0.49
Xavier Henry	44	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	8	-19	14.1	13.2	0.91	13.4	17.9	-4.48
Jodie Meeks	61	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-3	3	13.7	13.5	0.18	17.0	13.9	3.16

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	85	85	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.48	6	-3	9	16.3	13.5	2.80	13.8	12.8	0.92
Jeff Adrien	63	62	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.29	2	1	1	16.7	14.4	2.31	13.3	14.2	-0.92
Giannis Antetokounmpo	54	53	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	-8	19	14.1	18.0	-3.92	14.2	12.9	1.29
Brandon Knight	92	91	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.36	-2	5	-7	16.4	8.7	7.69	13.5	15.2	-1.63
John Henson	54	53	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.31	-2	5	-7	16.0	15.8	0.17	14.1	13.1	0.92
Zaza Pachulia	43	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-4	11	16.1	15.7	0.41	13.4	13.8	-0.35
Khris Middleton	63	62	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.41	-6	9	-15	16.2	15.3	0.89	13.1	14.5	-1.41
Ekpe Udoh	36	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	4	-5	14.1	17.0	-2.90	13.8	13.5	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 80, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.3%
SEA 99, NOK 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.91,1	93.6%
UTA 112, LAL 125	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%