NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	9.0 [136]		MVP	Darius Miller (NOP): +28.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	98		Comeback	2.0 [232]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -27.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.08	0.01	7	100%	0.22	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.08	-0.02	0.10	0.00	13	51%	0.17	3	-0.09	15	60%	-0.22
Glen Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.13,-0.01	0.16	-0.17	0.00	23	61%	0.03	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Darren Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	4	-0.13	4	0%	-0.10
Chris Paul	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	12	8%	-0.21	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.28	0.28	0.11	0.18	0.00	9	76%	0.33	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Anthony Morrow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	17	64%	0.14	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	11	58%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	19	35%	-0.04	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.04
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.05	-0.00	16	31%	-0.09	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.5	26.4	15.7	30.0	2.0	35.0	137.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +5.8%

NOP +11.4%

NOP +28.2%

LAC -1.5%

NOP +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOP	NBA	LAC	NOP	NBA
this game	13.8	17.3	15.1	104.3	105.4	105.2
season	14.3	15.5		111.0	105.6
opponent	15.3	15.4		108.5	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.0	15.4	13.2	14.8	13.8
NOP	16.8	16.6	16.8	19.5	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	51	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-8	14	14.7	12.6	2.14	18.0	16.6	1.42
Glen Davis	23	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	1	-4	16.5	12.9	3.67	19.5	16.6	2.89
Matt Barnes	62	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.36	6	-8	14	13.0	15.3	-2.27	16.6	18.8	-2.20
DeAndre Jordan	71	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.36	4	-6	10	12.8	17.1	-4.31	16.9	18.8	-1.92
Chris Paul	70	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-3	4	12.8	16.8	-3.94	16.7	19.3	-2.53
Hedo Turkoglu	12	12	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	3	-8	18.8	13.0	5.82	20.6	16.9	3.72
Blake Griffin	77	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.30	0	-2	2	13.0	17.9	-4.89	16.6	21.3	-4.68
Danny Granger	29	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	5	-12	15.4	13.0	2.35	18.7	16.7	2.01
Jamal Crawford	65	66	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.35	-12	10	-22	14.1	12.9	1.25	17.6	16.8	0.75

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alexis Ajinca	51	48	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.48	4	-2	6	18.5	15.9	2.67	14.5	13.0	1.52
Anthony Davis	72	74	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.49	3	-1	4	17.1	18.1	-0.97	13.7	13.9	-0.15
Darius Miller	53	52	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.41	3	-1	4	17.9	16.6	1.22	15.0	12.2	2.74
Tyreke Evans	78	77	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.49	-6	8	-14	17.7	15.4	2.32	14.1	12.3	1.72
Anthony Morrow	68	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	-3	8	17.1	18.1	-1.01	12.9	16.3	-3.32
Luke Babbitt	24	24	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	-2	6	18.7	16.9	1.84	16.8	12.7	4.14
Jeff Withey	14	13	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	-3	8	17.4	17.3	0.02	11.9	14.1	-2.15
Al-Farouq Aminu	63	60	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	7	-12	16.3	19.4	-3.08	12.4	16.2	-3.80
Greg Stiemsma	42	43	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.03	-3	5	-8	16.0	18.4	-2.36	13.1	14.4	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 74, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.96,1	92.8%
PHX 93, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.26,0.31,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.95,0.96,1	92.5%
IND 104, LAL 111	0.5,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.68,0.87,0.76,0.67,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	92.0%