NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	71		Excitement	3.6 [1091]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +7.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	82		Comeback	1.1 [882]		LVP	David West (IND): -9.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	11	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Copeland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	43%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Paul George	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	10	33%	-0.02	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
David West	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	15	33%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	81%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	11	40%	0.04	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	15	62%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	18	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	7	44%	0.01	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.6	25.3	16.3	22.5	2.5	32.3	125.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +28.0%

MEM +1.6%

MEM +18.8%

MEM +2.7%

IND -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MEM	NBA	IND	MEM	NBA
this game	17.5	17.6	15.1	87.7	98.8	105.2
season	15.8	16.4		102.7	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.2		103.4	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.9	19.5	15.4	18.4	17.5
MEM	19.1	14.1	18.0	19.5	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donald Sloan	17	19	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-15	19	17.1	17.7	-0.60	15.8	18.1	-2.27
Rasual Butler	3	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	19.0	17.5	1.53	17.3	17.6	-0.27
Solomon Hill	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	19.0	17.5	1.53	13.7	17.8	-4.03
Lavoy Allen	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	19.0	17.5	1.53	13.7	17.8	-4.03
Chris Copeland	19	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.08	-1	-10	9	19.6	16.9	2.68	15.9	18.1	-2.20
Ian Mahinmi	41	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-9	7	16.9	18.2	-1.37	16.6	18.5	-1.96
Evan Turner	35	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-7	3	17.3	17.7	-0.38	16.1	18.7	-2.60
Luis Scola	27	27	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-3	-5	20.1	16.2	3.93	16.6	18.1	-1.53
David West	55	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	-4	-3	16.6	19.5	-2.90	18.5	15.8	2.69
Paul George	59	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-4	-3	16.7	19.8	-3.14	18.1	16.0	2.13
Roy Hibbert	33	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-2	-7	17.5	17.5	-0.03	19.0	16.5	2.49
Lance Stephenson	52	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	2	-15	17.3	18.0	-0.73	18.3	16.4	1.86
George Hill	58	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.04	-15	4	-19	18.2	16.0	2.20	18.4	15.6	2.85

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	64	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-4	19	18.6	14.2	4.45	18.4	14.4	4.02
Zach Randolph	61	58	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	0	11	18.3	15.5	2.78	17.1	18.6	-1.51
Mike Conley	56	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	1	9	17.7	17.4	0.33	16.8	18.9	-2.09
Mike Miller	42	42	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	2	7	17.3	17.9	-0.66	18.2	16.8	1.42
Tony Allen	43	42	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.04	8	3	5	15.7	19.6	-3.98	18.0	17.0	1.02
Courtney Lee	42	41	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	5	1	18.6	16.6	1.99	16.6	18.5	-1.96
Tayshaun Prince	32	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	7	-3	19.8	16.2	3.62	16.9	17.9	-0.96
Nick Calathes	27	28	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	10	-9	17.4	17.7	-0.33	18.2	17.2	1.10
Kosta Koufos	37	36	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.16	-2	13	-15	15.0	19.7	-4.63	17.1	17.9	-0.81
Beno Udrih	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	13.7	17.8	-4.03	19.0	17.5	1.53
Jon Leuer	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	13.7	17.8	-4.03	19.0	17.5	1.53
James Johnson	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	17.3	17.6	-0.27	19.0	17.5	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 85, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
DEN 87, MIL 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NJN 84, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%