NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	117		Excitement	4.5 [926]		MVP	Drew Gooden (WAS): +8.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	107		Comeback	1.1 [1060]		LVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): -8.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	65%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Al Harrington	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	12	54%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Trevor Booker	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	13	56%	0.08	2	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
John Wall	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	21	60%	0.12	6	-0.08	5	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	67%	0.08	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	12	46%	-0.01	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	17	52%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.02	0.04	16	58%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	65%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	70%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	4	62%	-0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	14	42%	-0.02	5	-0.07	5	40%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.7	27.0	15.8	28.3	1.8	38.2	136.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +32.2%

WAS +3.8%

WAS +5.1%

WAS +8.6%

WAS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAL	NBA	WAS	LAL	NBA
this game	14.0	12.3	15.1	106.4	98.2	105.2
season	15.1	14.0		103.8	102.9
opponent	14.8	15.5		108.9	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	11.8	16.4	14.0	14.3	14.0
LAL	13.0	13.0	10.3	12.8	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	88	84	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.09	19	-9	28	14.2	13.3	0.95	12.9	10.0	2.88
Marcin Gortat	81	77	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	1	8	13.0	16.9	-3.88	12.2	12.3	-0.12
John Wall	86	82	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	6	-2	13.3	16.8	-3.52	11.6	14.4	-2.81
Trevor Booker	35	35	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.10	14	-4	18	12.1	14.9	-2.86	13.2	11.8	1.35
Trevor Ariza	81	80	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	4	2	12.8	17.6	-4.87	11.4	14.6	-3.22
Andre Miller	25	27	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	1	8	16.3	13.4	2.96	14.2	11.6	2.56
Al Harrington	55	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	10	-10	16.1	12.0	4.11	12.6	12.0	0.59
Drew Gooden	40	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	14	-18	15.7	13.1	2.61	12.7	12.0	0.76
Martell Webster	58	60	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.25	-5	15	-20	15.3	12.7	2.59	11.9	12.7	-0.79
Otto Porter	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	0.0	14.0	-14.04	5.0	12.3	-7.32
Garrett Temple	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	0.0	14.0	-14.04	5.0	12.3	-7.32
Kevin Seraphin	1	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	12	-14	11.0	14.1	-3.06	8.7	12.4	-3.69

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	41	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.28	7	-17	24	11.5	12.7	-1.19	15.1	13.4	1.70
Nick Young	66	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.40	9	-19	28	11.3	13.8	-2.49	14.9	12.8	2.08
Xavier Henry	54	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-10	10	11.3	13.2	-1.83	14.2	13.8	0.40
Ryan Kelly	44	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	-9	8	11.2	13.0	-1.76	14.9	13.4	1.48
Robert Sacre	40	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-8	6	12.4	12.2	0.27	13.9	14.1	-0.21
Jordan Hill	59	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-4	-2	12.8	11.6	1.14	14.4	13.6	0.80
Kent Bazemore	26	25	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	7	-24	13.8	11.8	2.04	11.8	14.7	-2.84
Pau Gasol	75	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	1	-12	12.4	12.0	0.37	13.3	15.7	-2.37
Jodie Meeks	75	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	3	-16	12.9	10.8	2.08	13.6	15.1	-1.51
Kendall Marshall	65	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	6	-22	13.1	11.0	2.15	13.7	14.5	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.13,0.22,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 102, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
ATL 112, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
CHA 108, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.5%