NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	86		Excitement	7.9 [270]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +17.2%
Miami Heat	91		Comeback	14.7 [136]		LVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): -29.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kosta Koufos	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.00	5	80%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	11	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	23%	0.01	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.05
Mike Conley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	12	41%	0.02	3	-0.16	5	80%	-0.00
Mike Miller	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	4	37%	-0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,-0.08,-0.2	0.01	-0.20	0.00	20	60%	0.15	5	-0.35	2	50%	-0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0.17,0.17	0.17	-0.02	0.19	0.00	11	54%	0.27	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.08
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	7	78%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Greg Oden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.07	0.00	4	56%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.07,-0.02,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.04	-0.00	14	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.07	-0.00	14	50%	0.12	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.14	-0.17	-0.01	15	34%	-0.18	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	32.7	15.0	27.4	1.7	36.3	139.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +6.7%

MIA +21.3%

MEM -17.8%

MIA +36.5%

MIA +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIA	NBA	MEM	MIA	NBA
this game	17.7	15.7	15.1	100.0	105.8	105.2
season	16.4	15.6		104.5	109.7
opponent	15.8	15.2		105.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.9	16.1	19.6	16.6	17.7
MIA	17.1	15.9	14.7	15.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Calathes	24	24	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.09	2	-7	9	17.0	18.0	-1.03	18.0	14.9	3.19
Kosta Koufos	33	34	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.03	3	-8	11	17.4	18.0	-0.62	16.8	15.1	1.69
Marc Gasol	42	41	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.05	0	-5	5	18.1	17.4	0.69	16.3	15.2	1.09
Tony Allen	30	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.11	-6	1	-7	16.1	18.6	-2.58	17.3	15.0	2.26
James Johnson	20	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	2	-9	16.5	18.1	-1.62	17.4	15.3	2.01
Courtney Lee	57	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-8	11	18.4	16.6	1.80	15.3	16.7	-1.37
Zach Randolph	64	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-7	9	18.7	14.8	3.93	15.5	16.8	-1.27
Tayshaun Prince	55	56	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.44	-3	-2	-1	18.3	16.8	1.42	14.9	17.4	-2.49
Mike Conley	62	62	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.44	-7	2	-9	18.0	17.0	1.03	14.9	18.0	-3.19
Mike Miller	43	43	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.30	-12	7	-19	16.5	19.0	-2.51	14.9	16.6	-1.63

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	55	57	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.33	20	-15	35	16.1	15.2	0.86	16.4	20.3	-3.92
Mario Chalmers	57	60	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.39	7	-2	9	16.3	14.6	1.75	18.2	16.8	1.40
LeBron James	69	69	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.42	4	1	3	15.3	17.6	-2.30	17.5	18.6	-1.05
Chris Andersen	35	33	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.03	9	-4	13	17.1	14.8	2.36	17.0	18.2	-1.21
Norris Cole	36	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.01	7	-2	9	16.3	15.3	1.01	16.7	18.5	-1.78
Chris Bosh	64	63	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	10	-15	15.3	17.0	-1.75	18.1	16.8	1.25
Dwyane Wade	59	58	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.32	-6	11	-17	15.0	17.4	-2.37	19.0	15.2	3.75
Shane Battier	17	17	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	3	-1	15.3	15.9	-0.56	16.8	18.0	-1.15
Udonis Haslem	17	17	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	6	-7	14.4	16.1	-1.66	17.1	17.9	-0.78
Greg Oden	21	21	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	0.03	-12	17	-29	16.4	15.5	0.84	20.6	16.8	3.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.11,0.15,0.33,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.45,0.58,1	90.9%
CHH 93, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.19,0.44,0.73,1	90.6%
SAS 85, SEA 88	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.27,0.25,0.46,0.32,0.58,1	90.3%