NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	7.2 [371]		MVP	Brandan Wright (DAL): +17.1%
Dallas Mavericks	94		Comeback	1.5 [1112]		LVP	Jeff Green (BOS): -27.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.00	11	64%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08	-0.02	0.09	-0.01	14	39%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.01,0.15,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.01	16	53%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Jared Sullinger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	16	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Phil Pressey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	8	28%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27	-0.22	-0.05	-0.00	12	21%	-0.13	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	5	100%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.03	0.17	0.00	11	55%	0.28	5	-0.14	9	89%	0.08
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.08	-0.01	17	51%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.05	-0.02	8	55%	0.13	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	13	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.7	30.2	16.6	24.3	2.4	37.5	137.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +31.7%

DAL +24.4%

BOS -20.8%

DAL +9.6%

DAL +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DAL	NBA	BOS	DAL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.1	95.7	101.1	105.2
season	15.4	15.3		101.2	109.0
opponent	15.0	15.0		107.0	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.6	16.3	15.6	16.1	15.4
DAL	15.2	18.0	16.5	13.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	53	53	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.43	15	-20	35	14.8	16.0	-1.18	15.8	15.4	0.33
Chris Johnson	40	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.14	-1	-4	3	14.8	15.7	-0.89	15.6	15.6	-0.07
Jared Sullinger	59	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-6	7	14.3	17.2	-2.96	14.3	17.7	-3.42
Phil Pressey	25	24	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-1	-3	17.5	14.6	2.91	17.2	15.1	2.15
Jerryd Bayless	69	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-4	3	15.1	16.1	-1.04	15.1	17.0	-1.90
Brandon Bass	32	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	9	-23	16.8	14.6	2.22	15.2	15.8	-0.60
Avery Bradley	70	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	0	-5	15.2	15.7	-0.51	15.7	15.5	0.15
Jeff Green	75	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-1	-3	15.3	15.7	-0.39	15.5	16.0	-0.47
Kris Humphries	42	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	7	-19	16.4	14.5	1.91	17.5	14.0	3.45

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	59	58	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	-4	13	15.8	15.2	0.60	15.9	14.4	1.49
Dirk Nowitzki	57	62	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-4	13	16.8	13.8	2.99	16.0	14.1	1.84
Monta Ellis	72	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	0	5	15.5	16.0	-0.50	15.2	16.0	-0.89
Shawn Marion	67	66	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	-2	9	15.5	15.9	-0.43	15.7	14.4	1.28
Wayne Ellington	9	9	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	-2	9	12.4	16.0	-3.51	17.2	15.2	2.07
Samuel Dalembert	43	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	0	5	16.5	14.8	1.67	15.7	15.1	0.59
DeJuan Blair	17	17	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.02	7	-2	9	14.4	15.9	-1.54	14.4	15.6	-1.23
Vince Carter	53	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	3	-1	14.9	16.5	-1.60	15.0	15.7	-0.66
Brandan Wright	33	32	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.28	-9	14	-23	15.1	15.9	-0.81	15.5	15.3	0.27
Devin Harris	41	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.12	-6	11	-17	15.2	16.0	-0.79	14.2	16.2	-1.98
Jae Crowder	14	16	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	16	-27	17.1	15.4	1.72	12.9	15.9	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.87,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 74, ATL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.92,0.89,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.0%
TOR 111, GSW 117	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.72,0.85,0.84,1	92.8%
GSW 86, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.86,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,1,1	92.4%