NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	111		Excitement	7.0 [426]		MVP	Kelenna Azubuike (GSW): +16.7%
Golden State Warriors	117		Comeback	1.6 [536]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (GSW): -13.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	20	62%	0.23	4	-0.12	8	75%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	7	53%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Jamario Moon	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0,0,-0.01	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	14	66%	0.10	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Will Solomon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Joey Graham	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	0.00	-0.08	0.00	10	46%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	12	46%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	8	31%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.01	10	90%	0.22	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.07	-0.00	9	68%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.04	0.03	12	77%	0.22	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.02	20	60%	0.18	4	-0.09	10	100%	0.05
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	8	62%	0.14	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	11	36%	-0.05	1	-0.08	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	29.1	16.3	27.6	2.5	36.4	137.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +63.5%

GSW +9.0%

TOR -21.0%

TOR -1.8%

GSW +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	GSW	NBA	TOR	GSW	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	15.5	114.4	118.2	106.4
season	15.1	13.8		105.0	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.6		111.2	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.0	15.9	15.5	14.6	15.0
GSW	13.7	15.4	14.5	14.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	16	18	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-8	10	15.5	14.9	0.61	14.1	14.5	-0.36
Kris Humphries	20	19	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-9	12	17.0	14.5	2.53	15.9	14.0	1.91
Will Solomon	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-1	-4	18.9	14.7	4.17	16.9	14.2	2.64
Jake Voskuhl	9	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.00	-3	-3	0	14.3	15.1	-0.72	13.6	14.5	-0.86
Anthony Parker	55	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-12	18	14.5	15.7	-1.19	14.3	14.5	-0.17
Joey Graham	43	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.29	2	-8	10	15.4	14.6	0.81	15.3	13.7	1.60
Jamario Moon	50	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	2	-10	15.3	14.7	0.56	14.7	14.1	0.66
Chris Bosh	78	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.31	2	-8	10	14.1	18.6	-4.46	14.5	14.2	0.30
Jason Kapono	64	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.21	-5	-1	-4	14.3	16.2	-1.90	14.0	15.1	-1.08
Jose Calderon	90	92	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-5	4	14.7	18.9	-4.17	14.2	16.9	-2.64
Andrea Bargnani	53	52	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.03	-23	17	-40	16.2	13.6	2.60	13.5	15.4	-1.94

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	78	75	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.35	16	-10	26	14.1	15.4	-1.30	15.3	13.8	1.57
CJ Watson	72	71	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	-1	8	14.6	13.9	0.66	15.1	14.7	0.41
Stephen Jackson	99	97	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	14.4	0.0	14.40	15.0	0.0	14.99
Ronny Turiaf	40	38	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	4	-2	14.6	14.3	0.37	13.9	15.7	-1.71
Andris Biedrins	60	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	2	2	14.8	13.8	0.92	16.1	13.4	2.73
Kelenna Azubuike	51	55	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	2	2	14.5	14.3	0.14	15.4	14.5	0.91
Brandan Wright	17	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	10	-14	14.5	14.4	0.08	14.7	15.0	-0.38
Jamal Crawford	78	76	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	11	-16	14.1	15.7	-1.60	14.0	18.6	-4.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.72,0.85,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 95, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.91,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.78,0.78,0.83,1	93.2%
NJN 88, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.95,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.8,0.84,0.97,1,1	93.0%
ATL 87, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	92.9%