NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	101		Excitement	5.4 [745]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +24.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	94		Comeback	1.0 [1309]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): -20.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.24	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.24	0.08	0.11	-0.05	15	74%	0.30	5	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	6	93%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David West	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.05	-0.04	13	60%	0.15	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Luis Scola	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	64%	0.05	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	81%	0.12	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	11	54%	0.03	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Evan Turner	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.06	-0.02	9	83%	0.21	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
James Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Varnado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Henry Sims	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	6	62%	-0.01	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.10	-0.07	0.02	16	36%	-0.09	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	31	37%	-0.13	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	30.5	16.3	24.4	2.4	35.6	134.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +71.9%

PHI -8.0%

IND +3.4%

PHI -15.3%

PHI -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	14.1	15.1	103.1	95.9	105.2
season	15.8	13.7		102.7	98.4
opponent	15.0	15.2		108.4	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.6	15.5	14.1	15.9	15.3
PHI	13.2	13.9	15.9	13.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	67	67	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-8	23	15.0	15.8	-0.76	14.2	13.8	0.43
George Hill	79	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.28	9	-2	11	15.1	16.2	-1.15	14.2	13.7	0.52
Roy Hibbert	59	59	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	-6	19	15.9	14.4	1.54	15.3	12.3	3.02
Lance Stephenson	84	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	0	7	15.1	16.2	-1.08	14.4	12.3	2.09
Paul George	72	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-3	13	15.3	15.2	0.13	14.2	13.9	0.24
CJ Watson	16	16	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	4	-1	15.2	15.3	-0.04	14.4	14.0	0.33
Lavoy Allen	39	39	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.21	-6	13	-19	14.4	15.9	-1.54	12.3	15.3	-3.02
Evan Turner	43	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.20	-8	15	-23	16.0	14.8	1.19	13.1	14.9	-1.80
Luis Scola	31	31	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	15	-23	15.8	15.0	0.76	13.8	14.2	-0.43

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hollis Thompson	68	68	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-6	5	14.0	14.3	-0.33	15.2	15.5	-0.26
Jarvis Varnado	12	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-2	-3	13.1	14.2	-1.16	15.6	15.2	0.34
Tony Wroten	30	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-4	1	12.7	14.7	-2.02	14.8	15.5	-0.65
Byron Mullens	51	50	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-6	5	13.7	14.6	-0.87	14.8	15.8	-0.95
Henry Sims	40	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	0	-7	15.4	13.2	2.24	15.6	15.0	0.60
Elliot Williams	36	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-4	1	13.9	14.2	-0.38	15.3	15.3	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	92	92	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.37	-1	-6	5	14.0	15.0	-0.96	15.4	13.2	2.26
Michael Carter-Williams	83	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	0	-7	14.4	12.6	1.77	15.4	14.6	0.81
James Anderson	78	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.31	-7	0	-7	14.4	13.0	1.32	15.3	15.2	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.1,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 107, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.23,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.11,0.05,0	94.3%
DET 107, MIA 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.29,0.27,0.15,0.04,0.01,0,0	94.0%
IND 110, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.26,0.2,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.09,0	94.0%