NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	97		Excitement	7.9 [277]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +38.1%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	4.8 [589]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -30.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.08	0.00	13	59%	0.16	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
John Henson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	6	86%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Adrien	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.05	20	52%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nate Wolters	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	4	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Zaza Pachulia	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	8	35%	-0.11	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Khris Middleton	-0.30	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16,-0.3,-0.3	-0.11	-0.19	-0.00	15	27%	-0.16	1	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.33,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.13	0.26	0.01	6	94%	0.40	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.00	6	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	11	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.03,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	10	85%	0.26	7	-0.27	6	100%	0.05
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pero Antic	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	17%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.05	-0.12	0.05	12	61%	-0.02	2	-0.11	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	1.7	29.4	15.3	24.2	1.8	37.3	130.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +79.9%

MIL -1.6%

ATL +0.7%

MIL -26.5%

MIL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	14.2	15.1	102.1	106.2	105.2
season	15.7	14.8		101.4	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.1		104.7	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.9	16.0	17.0	16.0	15.9
ATL	15.1	13.4	15.0	13.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	45	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-4	3	17.6	14.5	3.10	14.9	13.5	1.41
Giannis Antetokounmpo	48	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-5	5	16.9	15.0	1.87	14.7	13.7	0.92
Nate Wolters	44	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	1	-7	16.2	15.8	0.39	14.7	13.8	0.87
Jeff Adrien	32	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	0	-5	17.5	15.1	2.39	15.6	13.5	2.02
Ersan Ilyasova	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-5	5	15.1	17.5	-2.39	13.5	15.6	-2.02
Brandon Knight	72	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.26	-3	-2	-1	15.4	17.6	-2.13	13.8	15.3	-1.43
Khris Middleton	70	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.30	-2	-3	1	15.7	16.8	-1.10	14.0	14.8	-0.83
Zaza Pachulia	50	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-1	-3	14.5	17.6	-3.10	13.5	14.9	-1.41
Ramon Sessions	51	52	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.45	-4	-1	-3	16.0	15.9	0.16	14.2	14.2	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	77	76	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.39	15	-10	25	13.7	16.5	-2.81	15.9	15.9	0.00
Elton Brand	38	37	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	-1	7	15.4	13.4	2.03	16.2	15.8	0.44
Kyle Korver	71	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	2	1	13.7	15.8	-2.08	15.6	17.1	-1.56
Paul Millsap	62	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.42	-1	6	-7	14.1	14.5	-0.39	15.1	17.7	-2.62
Jeff Teague	68	69	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	4	-3	13.5	15.9	-2.41	15.2	17.8	-2.56
Dennis Schroder	28	26	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	1	3	15.9	13.5	2.41	17.8	15.2	2.56
Pero Antic	52	53	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	-1	7	13.0	15.7	-2.70	16.0	15.9	0.08
Mike Scott	34	32	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	-1	7	14.5	14.1	0.39	17.7	15.1	2.62
Shelvin Mack	25	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	7	-9	16.1	13.5	2.57	16.9	15.6	1.24
Mike Muscala	6	5	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.06	-7	12	-19	17.2	14.0	3.14	13.6	16.1	-2.48
Cartier Martin	19	18	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.04	-6	11	-17	16.0	13.8	2.22	16.2	15.9	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.4,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.71,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.68,0.73,1	91.9%
BOS 75, ORL 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.69,0.99,1	91.7%
TOR 91, DET 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.27,0.39,0.54,0.68,0.95,1	91.5%