NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Excitement	6.0 [628]		MVP	Jodie Meeks (LAL): +43.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	114		Comeback	7.5 [24]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -34.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	12	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.06	-0.02	0.03	18	51%	0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Steven Adams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.07	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.03	0.07	19	55%	0.03	5	-0.10	11	64%	-0.02
Jeremy Lamb	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.35	0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.35	-0.20	-0.11	0.04	23	39%	-0.16	8	-0.19	5	80%	-0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.33	0.14	0.04	18	84%	0.51	3	-0.08	14	100%	0.08
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	9	57%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	10	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.02	17	53%	0.10	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	3	0%	-0.07	3	-0.11	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.8	32.2	17.8	28.2	3.3	39.4	151.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.6%

LAL +24.2%

OKC -21.6%

OKC -1.5%

OKC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAL	NBA	OKC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.2	13.0	15.1	103.8	107.5	105.2
season	14.4	14.0		107.8	102.9
opponent	14.8	15.4		108.9	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.1	13.9	16.5	12.5	14.2
LAL	12.6	11.4	11.8	16.5	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	50	49	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.37	18	-22	40	12.5	15.8	-3.33	14.3	11.8	2.52
Steven Adams	22	23	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-9	14	15.5	13.9	1.56	13.0	13.0	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.06	-2	-2	0	13.5	14.3	-0.77	13.8	12.8	1.02
Nick Collison	29	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-5	6	12.8	14.8	-1.96	13.1	12.9	0.26
Perry Jones	37	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-1	-2	15.6	13.5	2.07	12.7	13.1	-0.43
Jeremy Lamb	29	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	5	-14	14.4	14.1	0.32	12.3	13.2	-0.93
Reggie Jackson	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.46	4	-8	12	13.9	14.7	-0.86	13.3	12.3	0.97
Russell Westbrook	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	3	-10	14.6	13.5	1.11	12.8	13.2	-0.36
Serge Ibaka	74	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.30	-9	5	-14	14.7	13.0	1.74	12.5	13.9	-1.37
Caron Butler	54	55	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	9	-22	14.0	14.5	-0.52	12.6	13.4	-0.81
Kevin Durant	90	91	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.43	-5	1	-6	14.5	12.8	1.65	12.8	14.1	-1.30

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	82	83	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.30	14	-10	24	13.2	12.0	1.18	14.7	12.5	2.17
Jodie Meeks	82	81	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.29	14	-10	24	12.6	14.2	-1.68	14.5	13.3	1.17
Wesley Johnson	80	79	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.37	7	-3	10	12.7	13.7	-1.03	14.8	12.5	2.28
Kendall Marshall	58	60	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-13	30	11.8	14.4	-2.56	15.1	13.1	2.03
Ryan Kelly	82	82	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	-2	8	13.2	12.1	1.07	14.0	15.0	-0.96
Kent Bazemore	47	49	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.30	-4	8	-12	13.0	12.9	0.08	12.9	15.4	-2.45
Jordan Farmar	47	46	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.29	-13	17	-30	14.3	11.9	2.38	13.1	15.1	-2.03
Xavier Henry	28	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.16	-11	15	-26	14.2	12.5	1.67	14.7	14.0	0.70
Robert Sacre	24	23	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.08	-10	14	-24	12.0	13.2	-1.18	12.5	14.7	-2.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.45,0.55,0.66,0.83,0.82,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 91, CHA 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.45,0.69,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.5%
MIL 94, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	91.7%
SEA 83, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.59,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	91.2%