NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	85		Excitement	6.4 [533]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +27.4%
Chicago Bulls	77		Comeback	3.3 [327]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -12.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.21,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.13	0.15	0.00	7	100%	0.29	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	8	75%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Nick Calathes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	13	38%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.03	0.01	16	53%	0.10	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	6	33%	-0.07
Tayshaun Prince	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	8	35%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Mike Conley	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	15	34%	-0.04	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.11	-0.02	16	56%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	12	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.06	-0.02	14	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	10	24%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	9	68%	0.10	6	-0.23	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.8	30.2	17.6	24.2	2.6	30.3	131.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +32.2%

CHI -11.9%

MEM +23.2%

MEM +2.3%

MEM +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHI	NBA	MEM	CHI	NBA
this game	15.9	16.8	15.1	97.7	86.5	105.2
season	16.4	16.3		104.5	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.2		99.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.0	16.3	14.5	16.9	15.9
CHI	16.7	15.7	17.4	17.4	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	45	47	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.31	12	-4	16	16.2	15.6	0.63	16.5	17.1	-0.65
Mike Miller	36	38	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.10	19	-11	30	14.3	17.1	-2.80	17.2	16.5	0.67
Kosta Koufos	34	36	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-5	18	15.9	16.0	-0.11	17.6	16.2	1.37
Zach Randolph	67	67	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	-1	10	15.6	17.1	-1.53	16.4	18.1	-1.78
Mike Conley	55	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	5	-2	16.0	15.8	0.12	16.4	17.5	-1.10
Nick Calathes	32	32	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	3	2	15.8	16.0	-0.12	17.5	16.4	1.10
Marc Gasol	60	61	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.24	-5	13	-18	16.8	13.9	2.89	16.5	17.4	-0.82
Jon Leuer	13	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	9	-10	13.8	16.3	-2.53	17.9	16.6	1.34
Tayshaun Prince	42	41	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	12	-16	15.6	16.2	-0.63	17.3	16.4	0.87
Courtney Lee	51	52	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.16	-11	19	-30	17.1	14.3	2.80	16.4	17.3	-0.90

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	59	58	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.19	12	-20	32	16.6	17.3	-0.71	16.6	14.7	1.90
Nazr Mohammed	8	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-7	6	17.7	16.7	1.05	10.4	16.4	-5.97
Mike Dunleavy	53	51	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-4	0	16.4	17.4	-0.99	15.8	16.1	-0.33
Tony Snell	20	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-5	2	17.9	16.5	1.42	14.7	16.3	-1.58
Joakim Noah	73	74	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-11	14	16.8	16.6	0.29	16.2	14.1	2.17
Carlos Boozer	45	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	1	-10	17.1	16.5	0.54	15.3	16.6	-1.31
Taj Gibson	52	49	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.28	-9	1	-10	16.3	17.4	-1.09	16.8	14.8	2.01
Jimmy Butler	79	78	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.24	-14	6	-20	17.3	13.2	4.05	15.4	20.0	-4.55
D.J. Augustin	56	54	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.28	-15	7	-22	16.4	17.5	-1.09	16.5	15.0	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.56,0.42,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, NYK 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.66,0.6,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	93.3%
PHI 91, MIA 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.01,0,0,0	92.1%
MIL 108, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.01,0	92.0%