NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	6.2 [573]		MVP	Alonzo Mourning (MIA): +11.2%
Miami Heat	79		Comeback	2.5 [337]		LVP	Rod Strickland (MIA): -18.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	13	71%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	3	80%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Speedy Claxton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.24,-0.22,-0.2,-0.24,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.05	0.01	28	49%	0.10	4	-0.13	11	73%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.01	0.01	8	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Corie Blount	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	14	28%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.00	17	58%	0.20	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	18	57%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	9	32%	-0.04	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	3	30%	-0.05	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	2	25%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.11
Rod Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	10	30%	-0.08	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	28.5	16.4	29.2	1.8	31.2	134.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA -1.4%

PHI +13.0%

PHI +18.4%

PHI +19.7%

PHI +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	16.4	17.3	15.6	105.8	92.9	102.3
season	15.9	16.5		99.3	96.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		98.2	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.7	16.8	14.7	18.4	16.4
MIA	15.6	16.7	19.6	17.6	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	73	72	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.14	18	-6	24	16.2	17.4	-1.19	17.3	17.4	-0.08
Derrick McKey	46	46	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.26	14	-2	16	15.5	17.3	-1.78	16.5	18.3	-1.73
Allen Iverson	84	84	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	1	10	16.5	12.5	3.96	17.3	17.0	0.32
Derrick Coleman	59	57	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.02	12	0	12	17.0	15.1	1.89	17.8	16.4	1.38
Dikembe Mutombo	70	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	1	10	17.0	13.8	3.14	18.2	13.4	4.78
Matt Harpring	46	46	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	8	-4	16.5	16.3	0.18	18.4	16.0	2.39
Corie Blount	25	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	13	-14	16.1	16.5	-0.36	16.1	17.8	-1.70
Vonteego Cummings	7	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	12	-12	14.7	16.5	-1.80	17.0	17.3	-0.34
Raja Bell	7	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	13	-14	14.6	16.5	-1.96	17.3	17.3	0.02
Alvin Jones	4	4	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	16	-20	12.2	16.6	-4.32	6.0	17.9	-11.88
Speedy Claxton	9	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	16	-20	17.6	16.2	1.32	14.9	17.6	-2.74

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	28	28	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.09	-1	-11	10	18.8	16.6	2.24	17.4	15.9	1.51
Chris Gatling	28	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-14	16	16.0	18.0	-1.96	16.1	16.5	-0.34
Alonzo Mourning	59	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	-6	0	18.5	14.7	3.78	17.9	12.8	5.11
Brian Grant	55	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-7	2	17.8	16.5	1.26	17.0	15.3	1.74
Eddie House	27	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-7	2	16.3	17.8	-1.55	16.9	16.2	0.70
Eddie Jones	77	77	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-8	4	17.6	15.0	2.56	16.5	15.2	1.28
Vladimir Stepania	25	26	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	1	-14	15.8	17.9	-2.15	11.9	18.3	-6.38
Jim Jackson	57	58	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.24	-11	-1	-10	16.6	18.8	-2.24	15.9	17.4	-1.51
Rod Strickland	69	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.07	-17	5	-22	17.2	17.8	-0.61	16.0	18.3	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 125, HOU 119	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.75,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.07,0.1,0.02,0,0.05,0	92.9%
IND 95, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.22,0.09,0.08,0	92.7%
PHX 106, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.05,0.1,0,0	92.2%