NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	6.8 [264]		MVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): +14.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	3.0 [70]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -16.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14	0.01	0.12	-0.01	16	61%	0.22	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Luc Longley	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	13	64%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	13	60%	0.03	0	0.00	14	93%	0.06
George McCloud	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Toby Bailey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	8	58%	0.06	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Gerald Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Joe Kleine	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-0.06	14	34%	-0.05	3	-0.11	7	29%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	12	52%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Derek Harper	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	11	55%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	43%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	20	47%	-0.13	0	0.00	11	55%	-0.07
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	22	49%	-0.01	5	-0.16	7	71%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	27.5	16.0	28.0	2.4	39.7	141.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +15.6%

PHX +18.6%

LAL -0.6%

PHX +19.6%

LAL -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	14.4	13.6	15.8	102.9	98.1	99.6
season	15.3	14.9		102.7	104.7
opponent	15.8	15.9		102.0	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.6	17.1	10.4	16.4	14.4
LAL	14.2	11.9	14.1	14.2	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	87	85	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-8	21	13.8	17.4	-3.64	13.9	12.0	1.94
Clifford Robinson	89	88	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.24	14	-9	23	13.8	17.9	-4.13	13.6	13.5	0.08
Jason Kidd	87	86	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.38	7	-2	9	14.0	16.4	-2.39	13.8	12.4	1.43
Luc Longley	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	-6	17	14.4	14.3	0.04	14.9	12.2	2.69
Gerald Brown	31	30	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	-2	9	15.5	13.8	1.70	14.7	13.2	1.55
Danny Manning	57	58	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.38	-4	9	-13	15.6	12.8	2.89	12.7	14.7	-1.97
Rex Chapman	39	41	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.11	5	0	5	12.4	15.5	-3.10	14.0	13.3	0.66
Chris Morris	3	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	5	-5	8.7	14.5	-5.86	7.7	13.8	-6.11
George McCloud	38	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.32	-13	18	-31	13.9	14.6	-0.65	11.9	14.7	-2.82
Joe Kleine	24	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.08	-7	12	-19	17.6	13.4	4.20	12.4	14.0	-1.60
Toby Bailey	7	7	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	13	-21	21.6	13.8	7.74	13.3	13.6	-0.34

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Harper	64	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-5	5	13.7	13.5	0.23	15.1	13.2	1.94
Rick Fox	41	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.42	9	-14	23	13.5	13.7	-0.23	14.6	14.2	0.40
Travis Knight	27	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	9	-23	13.3	13.7	-0.41	13.2	14.7	-1.51
Dennis Rodman	75	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.57	12	-17	29	13.6	13.5	0.14	14.9	13.0	1.94
Glen Rice	78	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	0	-5	14.1	12.1	1.96	15.2	11.8	3.43
J.R. Reid	40	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-6	7	13.8	13.5	0.28	13.0	15.3	-2.30
Shaquille O'Neal	64	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	4	-13	13.6	13.6	-0.06	15.3	12.9	2.43
Derek Fisher	39	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	0	-5	13.5	13.7	-0.23	13.2	15.1	-1.94
Kobe Bryant	87	87	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.21	-14	9	-23	13.2	15.6	-2.32	13.3	19.9	-6.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.05,0.1,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 94, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.16,0	92.3%
PHI 91, MIA 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.01,0,0,0	92.2%
NYK 94, PHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.66,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.03,0,0	91.9%