NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	6.2 [577]		MVP	George Hill (IND): +17.4%
Indiana Pacers	94		Comeback	1.1 [218]		LVP	Paul George (IND): -30.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Morris	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	12	64%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.09	0.02	10	58%	0.14	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1	-0.02	0.09	-0.04	15	50%	0.14	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	4	90%	0.09	1	0.01	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	8	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01	0.08	-0.06	0.03	21	57%	0.05	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.03
Ish Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	8	39%	-0.03	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.07	0.02	8	85%	0.20	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.06	0.01	17	58%	0.15	2	-0.03	11	73%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	18	47%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.06	0.04	12	56%	0.00	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.3	-0.30	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	17	32%	-0.16	4	-0.14	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.3	28.3	15.8	27.3	2.4	36.2	136.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +35.5%

PHX +5.6%

IND -3.2%

PHX +17.8%

IND -5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	IND	NBA	PHX	IND	NBA
this game	14.3	15.2	15.1	105.2	95.9	105.2
season	14.7	15.8		107.7	102.7
opponent	15.2	14.9		99.0	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.5	13.2	16.5	16.7	14.3
IND	15.6	15.0	15.5	14.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	48	48	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	-2	12	14.7	14.0	0.69	14.9	15.5	-0.54
Marcus Morris	44	46	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	-4	16	13.8	14.8	-1.04	14.5	15.8	-1.27
Channing Frye	77	79	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.20	6	2	4	13.8	16.3	-2.47	15.3	14.7	0.63
PJ Tucker	73	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	4	0	14.1	15.2	-1.15	15.2	15.3	-0.12
Gerald Green	61	61	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	4	0	14.2	14.5	-0.25	15.5	14.7	0.83
Goran Dragic	67	69	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.22	-1	9	-10	14.3	14.4	-0.04	15.8	13.7	2.09
Miles Plumlee	40	39	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.10	3	5	-2	14.7	14.1	0.61	15.2	15.2	-0.07
Leandro Barbosa	32	32	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	2	4	14.9	14.1	0.80	14.3	15.6	-1.36
Ish Smith	15	14	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	7	-6	17.1	13.8	3.30	14.6	15.3	-0.73
Alex Len	28	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.12	-5	13	-18	14.4	14.3	0.07	15.7	15.0	0.70

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	64	64	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.37	17	-25	42	15.1	15.4	-0.24	15.2	12.6	2.58
George Hill	67	66	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.32	15	-23	38	15.8	13.9	1.89	14.7	13.7	0.97
Paul George	78	77	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-10	12	15.1	15.5	-0.38	14.5	13.6	0.87
Ian Mahinmi	21	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-2	-4	15.6	15.1	0.48	14.2	14.4	-0.19
Roy Hibbert	77	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-6	4	15.1	15.6	-0.48	14.4	14.2	0.19
Danny Granger	43	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	5	-18	15.3	15.1	0.15	13.8	14.8	-0.95
Lance Stephenson	76	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	-1	-6	15.1	15.5	-0.39	14.5	13.6	0.91
Luis Scola	33	32	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.08	-23	15	-38	15.6	15.0	0.67	12.4	15.3	-2.93
CJ Watson	31	31	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	0.06	-23	15	-38	13.9	15.8	-1.89	13.7	14.7	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.09,0.14,0.24,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.03,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 91, MIL 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.17,0,0	93.1%
CLE 120, PHX 116	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.25,0.34,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.29,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.31,0.16,0.06,0.05,0	92.4%
SAC 98, TOR 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	92.1%