NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	96		Excitement	2.3 [1276]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +28.7%
New York Knicks	125		Comeback	1.0 [1006]		LVP	Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA): -3.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	19	60%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.03	0.00	-0.12	11	50%	0.09	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.05	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	44%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	80%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.13	-0.00	0.15	7	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	0.00	0.05	8	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.47	0.01	0.19	35	77%	0.29	0	0.00	10	100%	0.02
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	9	74%	0.08	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toure Murry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	28.2	15.8	26.1	3.3	26.7	126.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +32.4%

CHA -4.3%

NYK +6.6%

NYK +10.1%

NYK +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.9	16.6	15.1	111.6	145.3	105.2
season	15.7	16.0		102.4	106.4
opponent	15.4	15.1		107.6	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.6	16.5	19.6	15.4	16.9
NYK	14.7	17.0	18.3	16.6	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	32	32	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.22	8	-37	45	15.3	17.9	-2.63	17.4	16.1	1.35
Bismack Biyombo	31	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.22	7	-36	43	15.8	17.6	-1.76	17.6	16.0	1.60
Cody Zeller	30	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-35	41	16.3	17.3	-0.97	16.4	16.7	-0.32
Chris Douglas-Roberts	29	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-30	31	15.7	17.6	-1.87	16.1	16.8	-0.70
Jannero Pargo	58	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-15	1	15.7	19.4	-3.70	16.4	16.8	-0.34
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	31	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.26	-19	-10	-9	19.4	15.5	3.84	16.6	16.5	0.09
Gerald Henderson	57	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.47	-30	1	-31	17.6	15.7	1.87	16.8	16.1	0.70
Ramon Sessions	54	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.56	-34	5	-39	17.5	16.0	1.48	16.0	17.5	-1.50
Josh McRoberts	53	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.54	-34	5	-39	17.6	15.8	1.76	16.8	16.1	0.71
Al Jefferson	55	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.57	-36	7	-43	17.6	15.8	1.76	16.0	17.6	-1.60

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	50	51	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.34	28	1	27	16.0	17.3	-1.33	17.5	16.1	1.33
Carmelo Anthony	68	69	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.57	34	-5	39	16.7	16.1	0.57	17.5	14.8	2.70
J.R. Smith	56	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.39	25	4	21	16.3	17.1	-0.78	16.7	17.4	-0.67
Tim Hardaway Jr.	57	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.25	20	9	11	16.2	17.2	-1.03	15.9	19.0	-3.12
Jeremy Tyler	40	40	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.05	9	20	-11	16.3	16.8	-0.44	16.1	17.6	-1.46
Iman Shumpert	33	32	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.11	12	17	-5	17.0	16.3	0.72	18.6	15.9	2.65
Tyson Chandler	33	33	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.46	22	7	15	16.7	16.5	0.23	18.0	16.3	1.74
Pablo Prigioni	38	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.44	21	8	13	17.8	15.5	2.30	18.2	15.9	2.24
Cole Aldrich	27	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	39	-49	16.6	16.5	0.10	15.6	17.5	-1.94
Beno Udrih	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	37	-45	16.4	16.6	-0.24	14.5	17.4	-2.82
Toure Murry	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	37	-45	16.4	16.6	-0.24	14.5	17.4	-2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 88, DET 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
PHI 73, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
GSW 107, SAC 130	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%