NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	114		Excitement	2.7 [1221]		MVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): +15.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	97		Comeback	1.1 [805]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): -9.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.24	0.01	0.09	25	73%	0.18	3	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Derrick Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.02	5	62%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	10	62%	0.13	3	-0.04	9	67%	-0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	17	50%	0.05	4	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	8	65%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Ray McCallum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Withey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.06	6	82%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	5	69%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	15	47%	0.04	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	8	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	12	46%	-0.00	4	-0.02	11	73%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	0.03	6	44%	-0.05	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	2.0	34.0	15.8	27.1	1.8	30.4	139.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +35.9%

NOP -1.0%

SAC +6.1%

SAC +8.8%

SAC +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOP	NBA	SAC	NOP	NBA
this game	16.5	14.7	15.1	122.6	105.4	105.2
season	15.4	15.5		104.5	105.6
opponent	15.3	14.7		108.5	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.4	18.9	16.1	18.6	16.5
NOP	16.9	14.5	15.9	11.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	57	56	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.28	29	-12	41	15.1	18.6	-3.52	16.1	12.5	3.62
DeMarcus Cousins	58	58	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.08	22	-5	27	15.5	18.0	-2.53	15.4	13.4	2.05
Isaiah Thomas	77	76	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.27	25	-8	33	15.4	21.7	-6.40	14.8	14.1	0.66
Jason Thompson	69	71	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.28	25	-8	33	15.2	19.9	-4.67	15.0	13.4	1.61
Rudy Gay	81	80	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	5	7	16.9	13.2	3.77	14.8	13.9	0.87
Ben McLemore	12	12	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	19	-21	19.4	16.0	3.40	14.2	14.7	-0.49
Jimmer Fredette	13	13	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	24	-31	22.8	15.4	7.43	14.6	14.7	-0.07
Derrick Williams	45	44	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	23	-29	17.3	15.7	1.58	13.2	16.1	-2.90
Ray McCallum	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	17.0	16.4	0.57	12.0	14.8	-2.76
Aaron Gray	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	18.4	16.3	2.06	11.5	14.8	-3.32
Quincy Acy	45	43	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.25	-11	28	-39	18.6	14.5	4.08	13.0	16.2	-3.23

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miller	33	34	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.44	19	-36	55	11.6	16.4	-4.78	18.5	15.3	3.28
Jeff Withey	53	53	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.35	14	-31	45	12.6	17.5	-4.97	18.1	14.3	3.82
Tyreke Evans	53	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-10	3	14.1	15.5	-1.46	16.4	16.5	-0.11
Austin Rivers	45	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-14	11	13.9	15.4	-1.49	17.3	15.5	1.76
Alexis Ajinca	31	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-10	3	14.9	14.6	0.35	15.3	17.1	-1.83
Brian Roberts	57	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	-5	-7	15.2	13.7	1.50	15.7	17.7	-1.98
Greg Stiemsma	21	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	-3	-11	17.4	13.9	3.57	15.5	16.7	-1.20
Eric Gordon	50	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	-1	-15	15.7	13.5	2.25	16.8	16.0	0.81
Anthony Davis	70	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.30	-28	11	-39	15.3	12.7	2.62	15.6	19.2	-3.64
Al-Farouq Aminu	47	46	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.33	-31	14	-45	16.5	12.7	3.80	15.3	17.6	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 105, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
SAS 97, HOU 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
GSW 105, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%