NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	105		Excitement	2.7 [1229]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): +7.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Comeback	1.0 [611]		LVP	Drew Gooden (CLE): -8.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	19	64%	0.10	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	73%	0.11	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	11	70%	0.12	4	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Baron Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	22	53%	0.08	3	-0.03	7	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.00	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	14	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	54%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	9	68%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eric Snow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.03	7	59%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	0.04	20	47%	-0.04	3	-0.04	13	69%	-0.02
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	8	12%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.04	3	-0.05	4	25%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.5	29.9	15.6	26.2	2.5	25.6	128.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +45.4%

GSW +8.8%

CLE -2.9%

CLE -0.5%

CLE -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CLE	NBA	GSW	CLE	NBA
this game	15.0	15.4	15.4	110.5	102.1	105.7
season	13.5	16.4		109.8	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.1		104.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.0	14.3	14.0	19.4	15.0
CLE	15.2	13.9	18.1	14.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	95	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	15.0	0.0	15.03	15.4	0.0	15.45
Monta Ellis	95	94	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	15.0	0.0	15.03	15.4	0.0	15.45
Andris Biedrins	70	69	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.21	23	-14	37	14.5	16.4	-1.86	16.3	13.2	3.12
Stephen Jackson	88	87	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.22	7	2	5	15.4	10.3	5.12	15.3	17.7	-2.45
Al Harrington	73	73	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.02	15	-6	21	14.6	16.4	-1.73	15.3	15.8	-0.47
Mickael Pietrus	30	30	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.29	-7	16	-23	16.0	14.6	1.37	13.9	16.2	-2.22
Matt Barnes	12	12	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.22	-5	14	-19	13.3	15.3	-1.94	16.4	15.3	1.11
Kelenna Azubuike	12	11	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	15	-21	16.9	14.8	2.16	15.5	15.4	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-16	23	14.6	15.5	-0.89	17.6	14.9	2.71
Shannon Brown	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.44	15	-24	39	14.9	15.6	-0.76	19.4	13.8	5.64
Ira Newble	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-7	5	14.1	15.7	-1.53	14.3	15.2	-0.87
Daniel Gibson	59	61	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	-0.26	2	-11	13	15.3	15.6	-0.29	16.4	12.6	3.71
Sasha Pavlovic	41	44	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-11	13	16.1	14.9	1.20	15.0	15.0	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	59	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-5	1	14.8	16.5	-1.70	14.9	15.2	-0.31
Devin Brown	59	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	-6	3	14.9	16.3	-1.34	15.0	15.1	-0.12
Drew Gooden	52	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.07	-13	4	-17	15.4	15.5	-0.14	14.2	16.0	-1.77
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	42	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	5	-19	17.1	14.1	3.07	14.3	15.7	-1.41
LeBron James	80	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	3	-15	15.2	16.7	-1.49	15.2	13.9	1.30
Larry Hughes	38	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.27	-23	14	-37	16.2	14.9	1.33	12.2	16.9	-4.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 125, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
SAS 103, LAC 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
MIL 117, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%